Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 24

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ferrocarril Midland		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.10	4.75
	1.90	3.00	4.20
	1.93	3.20	4.00	Watch
	1.94	3.19	4.46
	1.88	3.21	4.52	Watch
	1.92	3.15	4.40
	1.88	3.07	4.70	Watch
	1.88	3.00	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.97)	3.12 ↑ (2.95)	4.4 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
49%

Draw
29.9%

Deportivo Maipú
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

31.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

30%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Ferrocarril Midland - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leguiza M. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Recalde L. 3. Casarico P. 10. Roseti M. 5. Violini N. (C) 8. Camano J. 11. Marin F. 9. Perales J. 7. Bulacio D.	1. Galardi N. (G) 4. Ortale M. 2. Paulini S. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. de la Reta J. 11. Vera J. 5. Mansilla G. (C) 7. Saccone F. 8. Bonfigli M. 10. Silva T. 9. Giacone J.
Substitutes
16. Abruzzese M. 15. Aguilar D. 18. Cao R. 20. Flores M. 12. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 19. Luna R. 17. Madalon V. 13. Muia T. 14. Penepil M.	20. Barrera V. 19. Cabrera L. 15. Fernandez N. 13. Ferreyra T. 14. Leiva M. 16. Nazar J. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 17. Sambueza F. 18. Yavante Gaitan D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Bulacio D. ⚽, Roseti M. (A),
10', Mansilla G. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Perales J. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
67', Marin F. ↓, Penepil M. ↑,
67', Roseti M. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
74', Giacone J. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Bulacio D. ⚽,
80', Aguero Gimenez A. R. 🟨,
80', Penepil M. 🟨,
83', Diaz Laharque L. ↓, Muia T. ↑,
83', Bulacio D. ↓, Cao R. ↑,
83', Silva T. ↓, Barrera V. ↑,
83', Casarico P. 🟨,
90+1', Ferreyra T. 🟨,
90+3', Cabrera L. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Ferrocarril is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferrocarril won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.08.26	Club Almagro - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Patronato Parana - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWTT
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.08.26	Deportivo Maipú - Atlanta Buenos Aires	4:2 ✺
26.07.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	Deportivo Maipú - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Maipú	1:3 ✺
05.07.26	Deportivo Maipú - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.03.26	Deportivo Maipú - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1

Upcoming Matches