Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 23

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tres de Febrero (Jose Ingenieros)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Club Almagro		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
	3.30	2.75	2.35
	3.00	2.70	2.50
	2.90	2.85	2.63	Watch
	3.36	2.78	2.60
	2.86	2.7	2.86	Watch
	3.35	2.70	2.45
	3.26	2.81	2.46
	3.05	2.65	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	2.74 ↑ (2.69)	2.54 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Almagro
29.6%

Draw
33.9%

Ferrocarril Midland
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

34.7%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

35.9%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Club Almagro - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez E. (C) 4. Asis G. 2. Cortave M. 6. Vitale J. 3. Silcan E. 7. Orlando J. 5. Laba M. 10. Bustamante F. 11. Macies T. 8. Salto C. 9. De La Vega F.	1. Leguiza M. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Cepeda G. 6. Recalde L. 3. Casarico P. 10. Abruzzese M. 8. Camano J. 5. Violini N. (C) 11. Marin F. 7. Bulacio D. 9. Perales J.
Substitutes
17. Bustos J. 13. Chamorro S. 20. Dornell T. 18. Lopez T. 12. Mangudo F. (G) 19. Martinez E. 14. Negro B. 16. Pinto F. 15. Tolosa N.	15. Aguilar D. 18. Cao R. 14. Castorani P. 20. Flores M. 12. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 16. Guzman D. 19. Luna R. 17. Madalon V. 13. Penepil M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Macies T. 🟨,
45+1', Cepeda G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Silcan E. ↓, Tolosa N. ↑,
46', 0 - 1, Bulacio D. ⚽, Casarico P. (A),
55', Abruzzese M. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
57', Laba M. ↓, Pinto F. ↑,
57', De La Vega F. ↓, Dornell T. ↑,
57', Salto C. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
66', Perales J. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
71', Camano J. 🟨,
75', Vitale J. 🟨,
77', Bustamante F. ↓, Lopez T. ↑,
77', Bulacio D. ↓, Cao R. ↑,
77', Marin F. ↓, Penepil M. ↑,
77', Camano J. ↓, Castorani P. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Bustos J. ⚽,
84', Casarico P. 🟨,
90', Castorani P. 🟨,
90+1', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
90+6', Dornell T. 🟨,
90+6', Recalde L. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Now, both teams are in good form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Almagro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.07.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Club Almagro	1:3 ✺
12.07.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Club Almagro	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Club Almagro - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Club Almagro - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Club Almagro - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 WLWWW
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.07.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Patronato Parana - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.03.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Club Almagro	1:1

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