Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 4

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Sanchez Lopez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+ 1
World	Disney+, LaLiga+ app


	Ferrol		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.1	2.85	3.6
	2.2	2.95	3.6	Watch
	2.33	2.99	3.84
	2.13	2.99	4.07	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.6
	2.2	3.02	3.76	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.83)	3.04 ↓ (3.52)	3.81 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
44.2%

Draw
31%

Mirandés
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

27%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.7%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrol's form might have worsened.

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	16.7%	27.8%

Ferrol - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Mirandés will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrol: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ruiz J. (G) 2. Delmas J. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 18. Martinez B. 24. Perea L. 6. Sanz A. 10. Sene J. 17. Dorrio J. 9. Jauregi E. 12. Bebe	13. Fernandez R. (G) 22. Gutierrez J. 5. Tachi 15. Tomeo P. 2. Rincon Lumbreras H. 10. Reina A. 6. Gorrotxategi J. 19. Lachuer M. 3. Alonso J. 9. Panichelli J. 27. Roca J.
Substitutes
7. Borrego C. 26. Carballo D. 3. Correa R. 1. Emilio (G) 14. Gelardo A. 20. Gimenez A. 8. Lopez A. 16. Manzanara F. 21. Moi 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)	26. Bassinga A. 11. Calvo A. 28. Dadie Izagirre A. 4. Egiluz U. 33. Gonzalez V. P. 8. Homenchenko S. 17. Izeta 1. Lopez L. (G) 20. Martin A.
Coaches
Parralo C.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Lachuer M. 🟨,
25', Puric A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Roca J. 🟨,
52', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
53', Tomeo P. 🟨,
58', Roca J. ↓, Izeta ↑,
64', Perea L. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
64', Jauregi E. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
75', Reina A. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
75', Lachuer M. ↓, Homenchenko S. ↑,
75', Alonso J. ↓, Gonzalez V. P. ↑,
83', Bebe ↓, Vallejo M. ↑,
87', Naldo ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
89', Gorrotxategi J. ↓, Dadie Izagirre A. ↑,

Preview

Ferrol is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mirandés is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ferrol is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
01.09.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Ferrol - Granada	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Ferrol - Málaga	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Celta de Vigo B - Ferrol	2:2 ✺
03.08.24	AVS - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTTL
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
01.09.24	Mirandés - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Málaga - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
16.08.24	Mirandés - Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Tarazona - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
31.07.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.04.24	Ferrol - Mirandés	0:2
11.11.23	Mirandés - Ferrol	1:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
10.09.14	Mirandés - Ferrol	4:1

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