Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ferrol		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.75
	2.4	3.2	2.78
	2.36	3.85	2.74
	2.59	3.9	2.34	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.63
	2.46	3.15	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.1)	3.4 ↑ (3.29)	2.69 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
38.5%

Draw
27.2%

Osasuna B
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrol's form might have worsened.

Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osasuna B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osasuna B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ferrol - Osasuna B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Diaz L. (G) 2. Miguel 3. Pujol E. 12. Chema 17. Ramon A. 6. Gonzalez F. 5. Noriega J. 14. Tejera S. 18. Concha D. 20. Gimenez A. 10. Pascu	13. Rafa (G) 5. Santos U. 4. Espejo D. 16. Auria M. 21. Ruiz R. C. 12. Lucero R. 6. Echegoyen M. 8. Yoldi A. 10. Rico M. 17. Arroyo R. 9. Gonzalez D.
Substitutes
7. Alvaro J. 4. Artetxe M. 19. Azkune E. 11. Dacosta R. 9. Escobar A. 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 16. Garcia S. 8. Gorostidi A. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 21. Tavares M. 15. Zalaya A.	30. Anso M. 19. Bonel A. 15. Efremov A. 22. Larrion A. 7. Lumbreras C. 11. Pedroarena M. 20. Perez B. 23. Serrano M. 1. Stamatakis D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Gonzalez D. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Tejera S. 🟨,
45+2', Echegoyen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pujol E. ↓, Zalaya A. ↑,
46', Concha D. ↓, Dacosta R. ↑,
53', Noriega J. ↓, Azkune E. ↑,
56', Zalaya A. 🟨,
71', Pascu ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
77', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
79', Gonzalez F. ↓, Gorostidi A. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+10', 🟨,
90+11', 🟨,
90+14', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Osasuna B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Racing Club Ferrol	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.05.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Ferrol - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Ferrol - Real Avilés	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Ferrol - Real Madrid Castilla	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTTWL
- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.05.26	Osasuna B - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Celta de Vigo B - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Osasuna B - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Zamora - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Osasuna B - Real Avilés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.10.25	Osasuna B - Ferrol	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.03.17	Ferrol - Osasuna B	1:0
02.11.16	Osasuna B - Ferrol	1:2

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