Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Zamora		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.65	3.55	4.85
	1.67	3.54	4.79
	1.69	3.57	4.95	Watch
	1.67	3.25	4.8
	1.66	3.38	4.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.51)	3.45 ↓ (3.89)	4.86 ↓ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
54.8%

Draw
26.4%

Osasuna B
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

23.9%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

23.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zamora's form might have worsened.

Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Zamora - Osasuna B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 19. Abde 20. Codina M. 6. Garcia M. 7. Kike 9. Losada M. 16. Lozano M. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 14. Moreno D. 10. Ramos C. (C) 5. Ruiz E.	13. Rafa (G) 16. Auria M. 6. Echegoyen M. 4. Espejo D. 9. Gonzalez D. 3. Jimenez A. 12. Lucero R. 10. Rico M. 21. Ruiz R. C. 5. Santos U. 8. Yoldi A.
Substitutes
4. Athuman I. 15. Buron L. 17. Carbonell J. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 3. Merchan D. 13. Pereda A. (G) 11. Romero Morillo A. 22. Sancho J. 27. Sy M.	30. Anso M. 34. Arrasate I. 17. Arroyo R. 19. Bonel A. 15. Efremov A. 22. Larrion A. 7. Lumbreras C. 11. Pedroarena M. 20. Perez B. 31. Stamatakis D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 🟨,
56', Garcia M. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
59', Abde 🟨,
73', Abde ↓, Buron L. ↑,
73', Kike ↓, Romero Morillo A. ↑,
73', Moreno D. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
81', 🟨,
83', Codina M. ↓, Merchan D. ↑,
87', Losada M. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Carbonell J. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Zamora is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Osasuna B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zamora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zamora is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Zamora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.04.26	Talavera de la Reina - Zamora	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Zamora - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Zamora - Pontevedra	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Zamora	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Zamora - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTW
- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.04.26	Osasuna B - Real Avilés	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Lugo - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Osasuna B - CD Guadalajara	4:3 ✺
22.03.26	Tenerife - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Osasuna B - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.25	Osasuna B - Zamora	1:3
19.01.25	Zamora - Osasuna B	1:0
24.08.24	Osasuna B - Zamora	1:0

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