Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2


	Athletic Bilbao B		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.1
	1.82	3.3	4.25
	1.81	3.36	4.74
	2.14	3.12	3.54	Watch
	1.8	3.1	3.9
	1.82	3.53	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.13)	3.3 ↓ (3.31)	4.13 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
49.7%

Draw
28%

Ferrol
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.1%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

24.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Bilbao B's performance.

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferrol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Athletic Bilbao B - Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 15. Alday I. 5. Monreal I. 3. De Luis J. (C) 12. Barandalla M. 22. Perez A. 18. Garcia E. 20. Korkut E. 33. Sanchez S. 9. Sanz I. 31. Conde A.	25. Diaz L. (G) 22. Mardones A. 3. Pujol E. 12. Chema 17. Ramon A. 6. Gonzalez F. 10. Pascu 14. Tejera S. 7. Alvaro J. 20. Gimenez A. (C) 19. Azkune E.
Substitutes
27. Galindo I. (G) 21. Garcia B. 6. Gibelalde M. 23. Gift E. 7. Hierro A. 17. Huestamendia P. 2. Irurita X. 14. Izagirre Cestona A. 19. Louis-Jean J. 26. Sola J.	4. Artetxe M. 18. Concha D. 11. Dacosta R. 9. Escobar A. 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 16. Garcia S. 8. Gorostidi A. 2. Miguel 5. Noriega J. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 21. Tavares M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Chema ⚽,
26', Alvaro J. 🟨,
39', Azkune E. 🟨,
45', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
45+2', Barandalla M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', 🟨,
64', Alvaro J. ↓, Dacosta R. ↑,
64', Azkune E. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
65', Conde A. 🟨,
71', Tejera S. ↓, Gorostidi A. ↑,
71', Chema ↓, Artetxe M. ↑,
78', Mardones A. 🟨,
80', Ramon A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 13).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Athletic Bilbao B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Athletic Bilbao B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ath Bilbao B	6	3	2	1	12:8	4	11
8	Racing Club Ferrol	6	3	1	2	7:5	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.04.26	Cacereño - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Celta de Vigo B - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Osasuna B - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.04.26	Ferrol - Real Madrid Castilla	0:5 ✺
03.04.26	CD Guadalajara - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Mérida AD - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Ferrol - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ourense CF - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.01.26	Ferrol - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1
15.05.22	Ferrol - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1
05.09.21	Athletic Bilbao B - Ferrol	2:2

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