Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 25

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Linarejos (Linares)


	Linares Deportivo		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.9	2.1
	3.3	2.95	2.05
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	3.51	3.2	2.17
	3.28	3.2	2.19
	3.5	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.45)	3.13 ↑ (3)	2.09 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
27.3%

Draw
29.1%

Ferrol
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30.3%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

30.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Linares Deportivo's form might have worsened.

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferrol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Linares Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferrol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	30%	40%

Linares Deportivo - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Linares will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Ferrol will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrol: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Recent matches Linares is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferrol is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferrol will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Linares won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.02.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Linares Deportivo	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Linares Deportivo - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3 ✺
04.02.23	Linense - Linares Deportivo	2:3 ✺
29.01.23	Linares Deportivo - Talavera de la Reina	3:0 ✺
22.01.23	Celta de Vigo B - Linares Deportivo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.02.23	Ferrol - Pontevedra	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Ferrol - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
05.02.23	Leonesa - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Ferrol - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.12.22	Ferrol - Linares Deportivo	2:0

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