Match Info

Date: 13 February 2022, Sunday


	Ferrol		Tudelano

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	5.25
	1.58	3.6	5
	1.65	3.5	4.75
	1.66	3.25	5
	1.68	3.5	5.49
	1.59	3.48	6.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)	3.46 ↑ (3.44)	5.26 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
55.9%

Draw
26.6%

Tudelano
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26.9%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

17.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Tudelano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tudelano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ferrol - Tudelano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tudelano is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferrol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferrol is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.02.22	Badajoz - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
26.01.22	Racing Santander - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
23.01.22	Ferrol - UD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
08.01.22	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
18.12.21	Ferrol - Calahorra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLTW
- CD Tudelano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.02.22	Tudelano - Calahorra	0:1 ✺
30.01.22	Talavera de la Reina - Tudelano	2:1 ✺
25.01.22	Tudelano - SD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
22.01.22	Valladolid B - Tudelano	0:2 ✺
18.01.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Tudelano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.10.21	Tudelano - Ferrol	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.04.17	Tudelano - Ferrol	0:1
06.11.16	Ferrol - Tudelano	0:1
03.04.16	Ferrol - Tudelano	0:0
15.11.15	Tudelano - Ferrol	0:0

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