Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 23

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Racing Santander		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.9	5
	1.62	4	5
	1.61	4.02	5.57	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5.5
	1.62	4.05	5.35	Watch
	1.62	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.56)	3.95 ↓ (4.03)	5.31 ↓ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
58.5%

Draw
23.8%

Ferrol
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.4%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

22.6%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	41.2%	17.6%

Racing Santander - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Ferrol will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ezkieta J. (G) 15. Sangalli M. 5. Castro J. 24. Montero J. 3. Garcia S. 11. Martin A. 21. Vencedor U. 8. Aldasoro A. 22. Rodriguez P. 19. Karrikaburu J. 9. Arana J.	25. Ruiz J. (G) 22. Bunuel A. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 15. Castro D. 10. Sene J. 24. Perea L. 17. Dorrio J. 21. Blanco R. 12. Bebe 9. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
20. Camara S. 34. Diaz D. 40. Garcia M. 12. Gueye M. 43. Incera I. 7. Junior L. 18. Manu 4. Moreno P. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 32. Salinas J.	7. Borrego C. 26. Carballo D. 3. Correa R. 1. Emilio (G) 14. Gelardo A. 8. Lopez A. 11. Nacho 6. Sanz A. 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)
Coaches
Lopez J.	Parralo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Martin A. (Pen),
24', Castro J. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Arana J. ⚽,
41', Puric A. 🟨,
42', 3 - 0, Sangalli M. ⚽,
45+3', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Perea L. ↓, Sanz A. ↑,
46', Puric A. ↓, Correa R. ↑,
46', 4 - 0, Rodriguez P. ⚽, Karrikaburu J. (A),
61', Sene J. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
64', 5 - 0, Rodriguez P. ⚽, Montero J. (A),
68', Aldasoro A. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
68', Martin A. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
73', 6 - 0, Karrikaburu J. ⚽,
74', Arana J. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
74', Sangalli M. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
74', Bebe ↓, Nacho ↑,
80', Rodriguez P. ↓, Incera I. ↑,
80', Jauregi E. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Racing won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Racing is a favorite.

There will not play in Racing: Sainz-Maza I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Racing: Mantilla A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Racing won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
11.01.25	Albacete Balompié - Racing Santander	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Racing Santander - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Racing Santander - Eldense	2:2 ✺
19.12.24	Elche - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
15.12.24	Racing Santander - Huesca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLTLL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
11.01.25	Ferrol - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.01.25	Ferrol - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.24	Zaragoza - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
18.12.24	Ferrol - Almería	1:4 ✺
15.12.24	Sporting de Gijón - Ferrol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.11.24	Ferrol - Racing Santander	1:2
02.03.24	Ferrol - Racing Santander	2:2
29.10.23	Racing Santander - Ferrol	1:3
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.01.22	Racing Santander - Ferrol	1:0
03.10.21	Ferrol - Racing Santander	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.01.17	Racing Santander - Ferrol	1:1
11.09.16	Ferrol - Racing Santander	0:1

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