Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Vivero (Badajoz)


	Badajoz		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.87	2.8
	2.45	2.85	2.75
	2.6	2.9	2.7
	2.49	2.85	2.8
	2.65	2.88	3
	2.56	2.95	2.75
	2.55	2.9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.6)	2.89 ↑ (2.88)	2.81 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
35.8%

Draw
31.6%

Ferrol
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

31.7%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

33.2%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Badajoz - Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Recent matches Badajoz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferrol in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Badajoz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.09.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Badajoz	3:1 ✺
17.09.22	Badajoz - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Badajoz	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Badajoz - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Leonesa - Badajoz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.09.22	Algeciras - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Ferrol - Leonesa	3:2 ✺
11.09.22	San Fernando - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Ferrol - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.02.22	Badajoz - Ferrol	1:1
10.10.21	Ferrol - Badajoz	0:1

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