Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday


	Ferrol		Calahorra

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.75
	1.75	3.2	4.4
	1.72	3.3	4.4
	1.77	3.05	4.6
	1.74	3.31	5.36
	1.88	3	4.2
	1.73	3.34	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.8)	3.2 ↓ (3.24)	4.67 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
51.9%

Draw
28.5%

Calahorra
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

18.4%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Calahorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calahorra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ferrol - Calahorra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Ferrol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.12.21	Real Unión de Irun - Ferrol	0:3 ✺
04.12.21	Ferrol - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Albacete Balompié - Ferrol	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.11.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
19.11.21	Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLLW
- CD Calahorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.12.21	Calahorra - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
04.12.21	SD Logroñés - Calahorra	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Calahorra - Atlético Baleares	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.11.21	Calahorra - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
20.11.21	Extremadura UD - Calahorra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTLWW

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