Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 19

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Fonte Luminosa (Araraquara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ferroviária		Confiança

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.20	7.00
	1.35	4.05	7.4	Watch
	1.38	4.6	8.2
	1.39	4.44	8.15	Watch
	1.34	4.55	8.1
	1.37	4.48	8.74	Watch
	1.36	4.1	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.57)	4.35 ↑ (3.4)	7.86 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
67.2%

Draw
21.1%

Confiança
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

26.5%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

25.5%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviária that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Ferroviária - Confiança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Denis Junior (G) 10. Albano 44. Carlao 29. Eduardo Oliveira 7. Fau 22. Felipe Rodrigues 5. Ricardinho (C) 23. Schilling Arthur 19. Thiago M. 11. Vitor Barreto 40. Ze Vitor	1. Matheus Silva (G) 11. Breiner C. 8. Gabriel Zeca 4. Icaro (C) 5. Madison 9. Maikon Aquino 2. Mateus Ludke 6. Matheus Juliao 10. PK 3. Renilson 7. Valdir Junior
Substitutes
21. Alan Stence 8. Alencar 38. Douglas Skilo 15. Fernandinho 4. Guilherme Ferreira 34. Gustavo Jundi (G) 77. Juninho 2. Lucas Rodrigues 51. Pedrinho 33. Pedro Estevam 30. Raoni 6. Rhuan	13. Alisson 12. Cadu (G) 17. Danielzinho 18. Guilherme Nunes 20. Iago Silva 14. Joao Mandovani 16. Kelvyn 19. Luiz Thiago 15. Paulo Henrique
Coaches
de Paulo Fortes V.	Alves Resende R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Maikon Aquino 🟨,
45', 🟨,
45+1', Renilson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Schilling Arthur ↓, Alencar ↑,
46', Valdir Junior ↓, Guilherme Nunes ↑,
51', Renilson 🟥,
52', Maikon Aquino ↓, Alisson ↑,
61', Ricardinho ↓, Juninho ↑,
61', Fau ↓, Alan Stence ↑,
73', Breiner C. ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
73', Mateus Ludke ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
75', Gabriel Zeca ↓, Iago Silva ↑,
76', Eduardo Oliveira ↓, Douglas Skilo ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Ze Vitor ⚽,

Preview

Ferroviária has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Confiança is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ferroviária is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Ferroviaria: 23.95%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
23.08.26	Ypiranga - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
17.08.26	Ferroviária - Paysandu	4:0 ✺
08.08.26	Figueirense - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Ferroviária - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Ituano - Ferroviária	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTTW
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
22.08.26	Confiança - Anápolis	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Confiança - Maringá	1:1 ✺
10.08.26	Paysandu - Confiança	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Confiança - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Botafogo PB - Confiança	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
18.05.24	Ferroviária - Confiança	1:0

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