Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stage - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Ferroviária		Ypiranga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.4
	1.74	3.2	4.7	Watch
	1.82	3.3	4.73
	1.79	3.31	4.9	Watch
	1.7	3.25	4.2
	1.81	3.4	4.57	Watch
	1.74	3.2	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.72)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	4.6 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
51.9%

Draw
28.2%

Ypiranga
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

28.5%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

29.6%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Ferroviária - Ypiranga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saulo (C) 10. Cassio Gabriel 9. de Moura C. 6. Edson Lucas 3. Gustavo Medina 2. Lucas Rodrigues 5. Ricardinho 4. Ronaldo Alves 7. Thayllon 11. Vitor Barreto 8. Xavier	34. Allan (G) 10. Alisson Taddei 91. Anderson Uchoa (C) 8. Caio Mello 4. Fernando 100. Gedeilson 30. Jhonatan 2. Mendonca 23. Mirandinha 3. Willian Gomes 18. Ze Vitor
Substitutes
21. Antonio 22. Caua A. 19. Denilson Goulart 16. Igor Fernandes 14. Jackson 12. Leo Wall (G) 13. Maycon 17. Pablo 15. Paulinho Santos 18. Quirino 23. Weverton 20. Ze Mateus	1. Alexander (G) 98. Caio Vitor 88. Clayton 9. Edson Carius 11. Fabricio Pereira 6. Guilherme Santos 33. Lucas Marques 7. Mateus Anderson 17. Mossoro 79. Reifit 15. Windson
Coaches
Junior Rocha	Thiago Carvalho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
2', 0 - 1, Ze Vitor (Pen),
27', 1 - 1, Ricardinho ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, de Moura C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Caio Mello 🟨,
55', 3 - 1, de Moura C. ⚽,
55', de Moura C. 🟨,
58', Alisson Taddei ↓, Reifit ↑,
58', Gedeilson ↓, Fabricio Pereira ↑,
60', Gustavo Medina ↓, Maycon ↑,
64', Mirandinha ↓, Edson Carius ↑,
67', Vitor Barreto ↓, Denilson Goulart ↑,
67', Xavier ↓, Pablo ↑,
67', Cassio Gabriel ↓, Paulinho Santos ↑,
71', 4 - 1, de Moura C. ⚽,
77', de Moura C. ↓, Quirino ↑,
87', 4 - 2, Ze Vitor (Pen),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 3 and 4).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Ferroviária is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ferroviária won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
29.09.24	Londrina - Ferroviária	3:2 ✺
23.09.24	Athletic Club - Ferroviária	3:0 ✺
16.09.24	Ferroviária - Athletic Club	3:2 ✺
07.09.24	Ferroviária - Londrina	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Ypiranga - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWT
- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
28.09.24	Ypiranga - Athletic Club	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Ypiranga - Londrina	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa FGF
18.09.24	Ypiranga - Passo Fundo	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
14.09.24	Londrina - Ypiranga	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Athletic Club - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
31.08.24	Ypiranga - Ferroviária	0:0
04.08.24	Ypiranga - Ferroviária	0:1

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