Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stage - Round 4

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)

Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Ypiranga		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.97	3.05	3.75	Watch
	2	3.2	4.3
	1.95	3.15	4.23
	1.85	3.1	3.7
	1.92	3.32	4.13	Watch
	1.97	3.05	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.98)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)	3.92 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
47.2%

Draw
29.4%

Londrina
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

29%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

27.7%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Ypiranga - Londrina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Allan (G) 10. Alisson Taddei 8. Caio Mello 100. Gedeilson (C) 28. Heitor 30. Jhonatan 33. Lucas Marques 7. Mateus Anderson 2. Mendonca 3. Willian Gomes 18. Ze Vitor	1. Gabriel Felix (G) 7. Calyson Rosa 9. Daniel Amorim 11. Ingro 8. Kady 6. Mauricio 10. Rafael Longuine (C) 3. Rayan 4. Rayan Ribeiro 5. Taua 2. Thiago Ennes
Substitutes
1. Alexander (G) 88. Clayton 9. Edson Carius 11. Fabricio Pereira 4. Fernando 90. Foguinho 6. Guilherme Santos 99. Luquinhas 23. Mirandinha 17. Mossoro 79. Reifit 15. Windson	18. Danielzinho 19. Echapora 21. Everton 20. Gustavo Franca 14. Joao Maistro 17. Martha 15. Pedro Cacho 13. Pedro Jorge 16. Riquelmy 12. Ygor Vinhas (G)
Coaches
Thiago Carvalho	Claudinei Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Calyson Rosa 🟨,
13', Gedeilson ↓, Fabricio Pereira ↑,
45+1', Jhonatan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Caio Mello 🟨,
61', Gabriel Felix 🟨,
64', Rafael Longuine ↓, Echapora ↑,
64', Calyson Rosa ↓, Gustavo Franca ↑,
65', Mateus Anderson ↓, Mirandinha ↑,
66', Alisson Taddei ↓, Reifit ↑,
67', Taua 🟨,
68', Ze Vitor 🟨,
76', Caio Mello ↓, Clayton ↑,
76', Fabricio Pereira ↓, Edson Carius ↑,
76', Kady ↓, Pedro Cacho ↑,
82', Thiago Ennes 🟨,
84', Daniel Amorim ↓, Everton ↑,
84', Ingro ↓, Joao Maistro ↑,
90+7', Mauricio 🟨,
90+9', 0 - 1, Gustavo Franca ⚽, Echapora (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 3 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ypiranga won 1.

Recent matches Ypiranga is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Londrina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ypiranga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ypiranga will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ypiranga won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ypiranga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Copa FGF
18.09.24	Ypiranga - Passo Fundo	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
14.09.24	Londrina - Ypiranga	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Athletic Club - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa FGF
04.09.24	Ypiranga - Grêmio 2	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
31.08.24	Ypiranga - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTTLT
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
14.09.24	Londrina - Ypiranga	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Ferroviária - Londrina	3:2 ✺
02.09.24	Londrina - Athletic Club	2:3 ✺
24.08.24	Londrina - Náutico Capibaribe	3:2 ✺
17.08.24	Remo - Londrina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
14.09.24	Londrina - Ypiranga	2:2
28.04.24	Londrina - Ypiranga	0:4
10.01.21	Londrina - Ypiranga	1:1
20.12.20	Ypiranga - Londrina	2:3
18.10.20	Londrina - Ypiranga	3:2
16.08.20	Ypiranga - Londrina	2:1

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