Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stage - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)

Referee: Pereira de Lima R. J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+


	Ypiranga		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.4
	2.85	3	2.41	Watch
	3.09	3.03	2.49
	3.03	3.05	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3	2.3
	3	3.1	2.44	Watch
	2.85	3	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.48)	3.02 ↓ (3.2)	2.41 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
31.7%

Draw
30.4%

Athletic Club
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28.4%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.1%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ypiranga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Ypiranga - Athletic Club Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Allan (G) 10. Alisson Taddei 91. Anderson Uchoa (C) 9. Edson Carius 100. Gedeilson 28. Heitor 30. Jhonatan 33. Lucas Marques 2. Mendonca 23. Mirandinha 3. Willian Gomes	1. Jefferson Luis (G) 10. David Braga 9. Denilson 5. Diego Fumaca (C) 8. Djalma 3. Edson Miranda 7. Geovane 4. Sidimar 11. Villero P. 2. Ynaia 6. Yuri
Substitutes
1. Alexander (G) 98. Caio Vitor 88. Clayton 11. Fabricio Pereira 4. Fernando 90. Foguinho 6. Guilherme Santos 7. Mateus Anderson 17. Mossoro 79. Reifit 15. Windson 18. Ze Vitor	14. Danilo Cardoso 13. Douglas Pele 15. Ferreira 12. Glauco (G) 16. Mauricio 17. Nathan 19. Neto Costa 20. Rafhael Lucas 18. Robinho 21. Welinton Torrao
Coaches
Thiago Carvalho	Roger Silva

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Heitor 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Geovane ↓, Robinho ↑,
46', Villero P. ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
54', Mirandinha ↓, Fabricio Pereira ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Fabricio Pereira ⚽, Alisson Taddei (A),
65', Djalma 🟨,
67', Edson Carius (Pen),
73', Edson Carius (Pen),
74', Edson Carius ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
74', Willian Gomes ↓, Guilherme Santos ↑,
76', Denilson ↓, Rafhael Lucas ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Sidimar (Own goal),
88', Gedeilson ↓, Windson ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Nathan ⚽,
90+9', Ze Vitor 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Recent matches Ypiranga is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletic is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ypiranga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Athletic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ypiranga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
22.09.24	Ypiranga - Londrina	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa FGF
18.09.24	Ypiranga - Passo Fundo	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
14.09.24	Londrina - Ypiranga	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Athletic Club - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa FGF
04.09.24	Ypiranga - Grêmio 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWTTL
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie C
23.09.24	Athletic Club - Ferroviária	3:0 ✺
16.09.24	Ferroviária - Athletic Club	3:2 ✺
07.09.24	Athletic Club - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
02.09.24	Londrina - Athletic Club	2:3 ✺
24.08.24	Athletic Club - Ypiranga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
07.09.24	Athletic Club - Ypiranga	0:0
24.08.24	Athletic Club - Ypiranga	3:1

Upcoming Matches