The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athletic Club 43.6%
Draw 30.3%
Ypiranga 26.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.3%
28.4%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
27.4%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Club's form might have worsened.
Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Club, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ypiranga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Athletic Club - Ypiranga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jhonatan (G) 4. Belezi 8. Cabezas G. 10. David Braga 2. Diogo Batista 5. Ian Luccas 3. Jhonatan Silva 11. Ruan Assis 9. Tavares R. 7. Vera D. 6. Zeca (C)
29. Gabriel Werner (G) 2. Cleiton 23. Danielzinho 11. Estevao 7. Felipe Ferreira 6. Nicolas 43. Ramon Vinicius 9. Renan Gorne 5. Rian 22. Walce 3. Willian Gomes (C)
Substitutes
15. Alexandre Pena 18. da Silva Sinfronio G. 26. Eduardo Freire (G) 14. Felipe Vieira 21. Gabriel Moyses 12. Glauco (G) 20. Gustavinho 13. Indio G. 22. Jota 16. Kauan Lindes 17. Kauan Rodrigues 19. Leo Chu
41. Adilson Junior 27. Dionisio 20. Dudu 28. Gustavo Simoes 21. Leo Gobo 16. Lucas Ramos 15. Mago 80. Marcelinho 35. Ze Carlos (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Ramon Vinicius 🟨,
5', Danielzinho 🟨,
10', Ian Luccas 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Felipe Ferreira ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
46', Nicolas ↓, Leo Gobo ↑,
63', Ruan Assis 🟨,
64', Ruan Assis ↓, Gustavinho ↑,
65', Ian Luccas ↓, Kauan Rodrigues ↑,
67', 1 - 0, David Braga ⚽,
71', Walce ↓, Dionisio ↑,
71', Ramon Vinicius ↓, Lucas Ramos ↑,
74', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
80', David Braga ↓, Indio G. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Tavares R. ⚽,
89', Vera D. ↓, Leo Chu ↑,
89', Cabezas G. ↓, Jota ↑,
90+8', 🟨,
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Ypiranga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Athletic is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Watch
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Jhonatan (G) 
Cabezas G. 
Tavares R. 
Vera D. 
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