Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 1

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)


	Londrina		Ypiranga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.93	2.95	4.1	Watch
	1.97	3.02	4.43	Watch
	1.95	3	3.75
	1.99	3.07	4.14	Watch
	1.93	2.95	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.85)	3 ↓ (3.23)	4.02 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
46.8%

Draw
30.5%

Ypiranga
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28.1%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

29.9%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Londrina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Londrina - Ypiranga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 5. Alison 3. Caio Rodrigues 10. Gustavo Franca 7. Henrique 11. Iago Teles 2. Joao Vitor 8. Lucas Marques 6. Mauricio Junior 9. Pablo Ruan 4. Wallace (C)	1. Edson (C) 9. Cristiano 36. Igor Morais 10. Jean Pyerre 30. Joao Paulo 16. Lucas Ramos 43. Luciano 77. Pedrinho 7. Roger 2. Vitor Marinho 3. Willian Gomes
Substitutes
14. Cedric 19. Edson Carius 12. Elzo Neto (G) 22. Gabriel Canela 23. Kaique 15. Marco Antonio 18. Paredes M. 16. Rafael Soares 21. Robson Duarte 20. Wellington 13. Yago Lincoln 17. Ze Breno	5. Charles Raphael 8. Clayton 99. Danielzinho 33. Eduardo Grechi 25. Gabriel Terra 23. Marlone 18. Montefiori T. 22. Rian 26. Valber Junior 40. Ze Carlos (G)
Coaches
Claudinei Oliveira	Matheus Costa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Caio Rodrigues ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Gustavo Franca ⚽,
40', Pablo Ruan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Joao Paulo ↓, Charles Raphael ↑,
46', Jean Pyerre ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
57', Vitor Marinho 🟨,
63', Joao Vitor ↓, Cedric ↑,
63', Cristiano ↓, Valber Junior ↑,
71', Lucas Ramos ↓, Marlone ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Cedric ⚽,
74', Pablo Ruan ↓, Edson Carius ↑,
74', Henrique ↓, Gabriel Canela ↑,
74', Luciano ↓, Clayton ↑,
82', Charles Raphael 🟨,
83', Alison ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
83', Gustavo Franca ↓, Paredes M. ↑,
87', Igor Morais 🟨,
89', 3 - 1, Marlone ⚽,
90+5', Caio Rodrigues 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Londrina won 2.

Recent matches Londrina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ypiranga in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Londrina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Londrina is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Londrina won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.6:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Londrina won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1.5:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
18.03.25	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	1:3 penalties ✺
15.03.25	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Londrina - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Cianorte - Londrina	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Londrina - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWWL
- Ypiranga FC
Club Friendly
05.04.25	São Luiz - Ypiranga	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.03.25	Ypiranga - São Luiz	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	São Luiz - Ypiranga	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Ypiranga - Monsoon	2:1 penalties ✺
20.02.25	Monsoon - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
22.09.24	Ypiranga - Londrina	0:1
14.09.24	Londrina - Ypiranga	2:2
28.04.24	Londrina - Ypiranga	0:4
10.01.21	Londrina - Ypiranga	1:1
20.12.20	Ypiranga - Londrina	2:3
18.10.20	Londrina - Ypiranga	3:2
16.08.20	Ypiranga - Londrina	2:1

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