Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 8

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Ferroviária		Rio Claro

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.4	3.9
	1.85	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.85	3.15	3.45
	1.83	3.2	4.39
	1.73	3.5	4.2
	1.82	3.34	4.35
	1.85	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	3.97 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
49.9%

Draw
27.2%

Rio Claro
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.8%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

24.8%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Rio Claro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ferroviária could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ferroviária will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferroviária won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferroviária won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
06.02.24	Portuguesa Santista - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Velo Clube - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
31.01.24	Ferroviária - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Comercial SP - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
24.01.24	Ferroviária - São Bento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTTT
- Rio Claro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.02.24	Rio Claro - Linense	3:0 ✺
04.02.24	Atlético Monte Azul - Rio Claro	3:3 ✺
31.01.24	São José-SP - Rio Claro	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Rio Claro - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
24.01.24	Rio Claro - EC Noroeste	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.02.16	Ferroviária - Rio Claro	3:1

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