Match Info

Serie D - Round 5

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)


	Ferroviário Fortaleza		Piauí

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.5
	1.7	3.25	4.55
	1.7	3.36	5.09
	1.71	3.27	5.08	Watch
	1.7	3	4.8
	1.67	3.24	5.15
	1.8	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.84)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	4.74 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário Fortaleza
52.8%

Draw
28.2%

Piauí
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

29.6%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

29%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Piauí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piauí than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Piauí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Ciel ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Kauan Maranhao (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 2 - 1, Ciel ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Piauí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferroviário is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	ABC - Ferroviário Fortaleza	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	Atlético Cearense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Altos - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Tirol	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTW
- Piauí EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Piauí - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	Piauí - Altos	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - Piauí	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Vitória Salvador - Piauí	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Piauí - Atlético Cearense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLLT

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Piauí: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide