Match Info
Serie D - Round 6Date: 11 May 2026, Monday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Piauí |
|
Ferroviário Fortaleza |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.98 |
3.05 |
2.25 |
|
 |
3.04 |
3.15 |
2.29 |
|
 |
3.09 |
2.97 |
2.34 |
 Watch |
 |
2.88 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
|
 |
3.03 |
3.02 |
2.27 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.45) |
3.02 ↑
(3) |
2.29 ↓
(2.8) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Piauí
30.2% | Draw
30.1% | Ferroviário Fortaleza
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piauí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Piauí's form might have worsened.Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferroviário Fortaleza's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piauí than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piauí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferroviário Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Piauí - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 0, Kauan Maranhao ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Recent form of Piauí has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Ferroviário's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Ferroviário might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Piauí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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