Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday


	Ferroviário Fortaleza		Maranhão

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.7	5.7
	1.38	3.67	5.87
	1.42	4.2	6.95
	1.47	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.62)	3.89 ↑ (3.5)	6.13 ↑ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviário Fortaleza
62.7%

Draw
22.8%

Maranhão
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

26.3%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.7%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviário Fortaleza's performance.

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maranhão Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferroviário Fortaleza will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Maranhão could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferroviário is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferroviário won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferroviário won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie D
27.08.23	Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Nacional de Patos	3:1 ✺
13.08.23	Nacional de Patos - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.23	Pacajus - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
05.08.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Princesa do Solimões	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTLW
- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie D
27.08.23	Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Retrô Brasil - Maranhão	2:3 penalties ✺
13.08.23	Maranhão - Retrô Brasil	0:0 ✺
06.08.23	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Maranhão	0:2 penalties ✺
29.07.23	Maranhão - Tuna Luso Brasileira	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.08.23	Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1
14.06.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maranhão	3:1
11.06.23	Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maranhão: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide