Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali) 🌤️ ...


	Fgura United		St. Andrews

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.06	3.44	3.04
	2.08	3.5	3.05	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.1	3.78	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.01)	3.41 ↓ (3.55)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fgura United
43.5%

Draw
26.6%

St. Andrews
30%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.6%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

26%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fgura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

St. Andrews has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Fgura United - St. Andrews Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Akande T. ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fgura won 2.

Fgura is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St. Andrews has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

St. Andrews may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fgura has had a series of away games.

Fgura might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fgura won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fgura won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Fgura	5	3	2	0	10:2	8	11
9	St. Andrews	5	2	1	2	3:6	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fgura United
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Fgura United	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Swieqi United - Fgura United	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Mġarr United - Fgura United	2:4 ✺
01.02.26	Fgura United - Sirens	1:5 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
27.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Fgura United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.26	Balzan - St. Andrews	1:4 ✺
14.02.26	St. Andrews - Santa Lucia	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - St. Andrews	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	St. Andrews - Balzan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
02.11.25	St. Andrews - Fgura United	1:2
16.02.25	Fgura United - St. Andrews	0:1
14.09.24	Fgura United - St. Andrews	0:1
09.03.24	St. Andrews - Fgura United	0:0
17.09.23	Fgura United - St. Andrews	2:0
16.04.23	Fgura United - St. Andrews	2:0
03.12.22	St. Andrews - Fgura United	3:2

Fgura United - St. Andrews