Match Info

Challenge League - Round 12

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	St. Andrews		Balzan

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.25	1.35	Watch
	7.25	4.68	1.35	Watch
	8	4	1.33
	6.78	4.38	1.42
	6.66	4.2	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.24 ↓ (7.38)	4.3 ↓ (4.7)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

St. Andrews
12.5%

Draw
21%

Balzan
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

19.4%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

18.9%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Andrews has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

St. Andrews - Balzan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Dimeji A. ⚽,
86', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Andrews won 2.

St. Andrews has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Balzan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Balzan is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, St. Andrews won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Andrews won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	St. Andrews	2	0	1	1	1:4	-3	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
10.01.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - St. Andrews	1:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
03.01.26	St. Andrews - Gżira United	0:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
21.12.25	Marsa - St. Andrews	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	St. Andrews - Melita	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Pietà Hotspurs - St. Andrews	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LLWWW
- Balzan FC
Maltese Challenge League
10.01.26	Balzan - Vittoriosa Stars	4:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:2 penalties ✺
Maltese Challenge League
20.12.25	Santa Lucia - Balzan	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Balzan - Żebbuġ Rangers	4:0 ✺
10.12.25	Fgura United - Balzan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
30.03.19	St. Andrews - Balzan	0:1
03.11.18	Balzan - St. Andrews	0:2
06.01.18	Balzan - St. Andrews	3:1
25.08.17	St. Andrews - Balzan	3:2
15.04.17	Balzan - St. Andrews	2:1
21.01.17	St. Andrews - Balzan	0:1
30.09.16	Balzan - St. Andrews	3:0

Upcoming Matches