Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 10

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Fanatiz


	Figueirense		Caravaggio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.43	3.98	7.43
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.56)	3.98 ↑ (3.46)	7.43 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
64.4%

Draw
23.2%

Caravaggio
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

26.1%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

25%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Figueirense's performance.

Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Figueirense - Caravaggio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fabricio Santana (G) 10. Camilo (C) 3. Felipe Santiago 33. Jhony Douglas 80. Joao Lucas 22. Leonan 77. Lucas Mineiro 11. Marlyson 7. Nicolas 94. Rodrigo 6. Samuel Toscas	1. Arthur Vellasque (G) 6. Arthur Augusto 11. Fernando Portel 7. Gabriel Henrique 9. Genesis 5. Henik (C) 4. Pavani 2. Rafael Compri 10. Renan 8. Ruan 3. Vinicius Barcellos
Substitutes
23. Antonio (G) 44. Edeilton 40. Gabriel Asaph 29. Gabriel Morais 18. Kaua 9. Kayke 30. Micaias 28. Rafinha Potiguar 79. Reifit 47. Ruan Carneiro (G) 16. Yan	17. Dorinho 19. Elyson 22. Juninho 20. Matheus Joaquim 24. Niccolas (G) 16. Padilha 12. Pedro Portelli (G) 13. Ricardo 21. Thauan 18. Tiago Coelho 14. Wilian Carvalho 15. Ze Neto

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', Henik 🟨,
12', Rodrigo 🟨,
16', Vinicius Barcellos 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Marlyson ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Renan ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Nicolas ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ruan ↓, Wilian Carvalho ↑,
46', Arthur Augusto ↓, Padilha ↑,
46', Rodrigo ↓, Rafinha Potiguar ↑,
49', 3 - 1, Nicolas ⚽,
50', 4 - 1, Joao Lucas ⚽,
55', Fernando Portel ↓, Ze Neto ↑,
55', Henik ↓, Tiago Coelho ↑,
55', Genesis ↓, Elyson ↑,
59', Marlyson ↓, Kayke ↑,
65', Joao Lucas ↓, Reifit ↑,
68', Leonan 🟨,
73', 5 - 1, Kayke ⚽,
77', Camilo ↓, Gabriel Asaph ↑,
77', Nicolas ↓, Kaua ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense (Play Offs: ) and 11 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Caravaggio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Figueirense is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
13.02.25	Figueirense - Chapecoense	2:4 ✺
08.02.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Figueirense - Brusque	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Santa Catarina - Figueirense	2:2 ✺
29.01.25	Figueirense - Concórdia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWTW
- Caravaggio FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
12.02.25	Criciúma - Caravaggio	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Caravaggio - Joinville	0:1 ✺
06.02.25	Concórdia - Caravaggio	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Caravaggio - Hercílio Luz	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Brusque - Caravaggio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WLLWL

Figueirense - Caravaggio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide