Match Info
Copa Santa Catarina - Round 4Date: 1 October 2025, WednesdayLocation: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)
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Barra Santa Catarina |
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Figueirense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
8.1 |
5.56 |
1.38 |
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 |
6.78 |
4.31 |
1.42 |
Watch |
 |
10.9 |
5 |
1.24 |
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 |
8.5 |
5.33 |
1.27 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.57 ↑ (6.33) |
5.05 ↑ (4.2) |
1.33 ↓ (1.44) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Barra Santa Catarina 10.9% | Draw 18.5% | Figueirense 70.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Figueirense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-4.5%)Barra Santa Catarina - Figueirense Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Figueirense (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 63', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 76', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 80', 0 - 4, ⚽,
- 90+1', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barra won 2.Barra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Figueirense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Barra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Barra has had a series of away games. In this match, Figueirense is the undeniable favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Barra won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.8:2).Including home matches between the teams, Barra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;