The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
São Bernardo 57.3%
Draw 27.3%
Figueirense 15.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.7%
25.6%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.2%
23.4%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bernardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
São Bernardo - Figueirense Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - São Bernardo (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. São Bernardo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Junior Oliveira (G) 32. Bastos R. 26. Dudu Miraima 11. Felipe Azevedo 3. Helder Maciel (C) 21. Hugo Sanches 28. Joao Paulo 95. Para 59. Pedro Felipe 4. Rafael Forster 17. Romisson
1. Igo Gabriel (G) 10. Felipe Augusto 9. Hyuri 2. Iury 5. Jhony Douglas 4. Ligger (C) 3. Lucas Dias 11. Marlyson 6. Matheus Mascarenhas 8. Rafinha Potiguar 7. Ramon Vinicius
Substitutes
1. Alex Alves (G) 97. Augusto 44. Caio Garcez 7. Echapora 20. Emerson Santos 90. Felipe Garcia 22. Leo Duarte 8. Lucas Buchecha 70. Lucas Reis 13. Matheus Salustiano 30. Sillas 31. Victor Andrade
14. Douglas Bacelar 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 20. Flavio 19. Gabriel Santiago 15. Leo Maia 18. Rafael Longuine 17. Reifit 21. Renan 16. Wesley Costa
Coaches
Ricardo Catala
Sizenando E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Felipe Augusto ⚽,
24', 🟨,
27', Lucas Dias 🟨,
36', Jhony Douglas 🟨,
37', Hyuri 🟨,
37', Helder Maciel 🟨,
38', Matheus Mascarenhas 🟨,
44', Ramon Vinicius 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
57', Bastos R. ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
63', Pedro Felipe ↓, Echapora ↑,
74', Matheus Mascarenhas ↓, Wesley Costa ↑,
74', Ramon Vinicius ↓, Gabriel Santiago ↑,
76', Joao Paulo ↓, Lucas Reis ↑,
76', Dudu Miraima ↓, Lucas Buchecha ↑,
82', Iury ↓, Leo Maia ↑,
82', Hyuri ↓, Renan ↑,
82', Felipe Augusto ↓, Douglas Bacelar ↑,
85', Rafael Forster 🟥,
90', Helder Maciel 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Marlyson (Pen),
90+5', 0 - 3, Lucas Dias ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
São Bernardo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Figueirense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Figueirense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, São Bernardo is seen as the favorite.
We predict that São Bernardo will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Brazil
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