Match Info

Division 1 - Round 31

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Bishopsgate (Longford)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	LOI TV


	Longford Town		Treaty United

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.30	3.80
	1.84	3.40	3.50
	1.88	3.70	4.12
	1.84	3.73	3.64	Watch
	1.85	3.65	3.95
	1.86	3.63	3.88
	1.81	3.40	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.96)	3.54 ↓ (3.71)	3.8 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Longford Town
50%

Draw
25.9%

Treaty United
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

24.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

23.8%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Longford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Treaty United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Longford Town - Treaty United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moore K. (G) 6. Adenekan S. 16. Bailey J. 10. Doran A. 21. Hough J. 8. Manuel P. 5. McCarthy T. 28. Moore S. 20. O'Brien A. (C) 23. Paraschiv A. 14. Williams D.	1. Brady J. (G) 11. Byrne M. 44. Cantwell K. 8. Conroy C. 9. Curtis C. 29. Foley K. 6. Healy S. 37. Kareem D. 3. Lynch B. 31. Manning R. 5. Regan B.
Substitutes
18. Brady S. 27. Brunton K. 19. Campbell F. 24. Cioch A. 11. Harris M. 15. Murtagh D. 9. Ugbesia S. 25. Woodcock L.	19. Cunningham B. 15. Feeney B. 21. Fitzpatrick K. (G) 10. Lawlor R. 30. Murphy M. 20. Nwankwo D. 18. Oyenuga J. 36. Whelan C. 16. Yoro E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Curtis C. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Byrne M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Kareem D. ↓, Feeney B. ↑,
63', Bailey J. ↓, Murtagh D. ↑,
63', Manuel P. ↓, Ugbesia S. ↑,
65', Feeney B. 🟨,
70', Byrne M. ↓, Oyenuga J. ↑,
72', 🟨,
73', (Penalty Awarded),
73', Williams D. ↓, Campbell F. ↑,
73', Paraschiv A. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
77', Curtis C. ↓, Nwankwo D. ↑,
77', Manning R. ↓, Murphy M. ↑,
78', Murphy M. 🟨,
82', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Longford won 4.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Longford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Longford could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Longford won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Longford won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Longford	34	13	9	12	47:45	2	48
9	Treaty United	34	9	9	16	33:52	-19	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Longford Town
Irish Division 1
05.09.26	Longford Town - Kerry	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cobh Ramblers - Longford Town	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Longford Town - Bray Wanderers	4:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
16.08.26	Bohemians Dublin - Longford Town	4:0 ✺
Irish Division 1
07.08.26	Athlone Town - Longford Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWLL
- Treaty United
Irish Division 1
04.09.26	Treaty United - Wexford	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Kerry - Treaty United	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Treaty United - Cork City	2:2 ✺
07.08.26	Cobh Ramblers - Treaty United	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	University College Dublin - Treaty United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
31.07.26	Treaty United - Longford Town	0:1
29.05.26	Longford Town - Treaty United	3:1
03.04.26	Treaty United - Longford Town	0:0
05.10.25	Treaty United - Longford Town	1:2
09.08.25	Longford Town - Treaty United	2:0
23.05.25	Treaty United - Longford Town	5:1
29.03.25	Longford Town - Treaty United	2:0

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