Match Info

Division 1 - Round 30

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Finn Park (Ballybofey)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	LOI TV


	Finn Harps		Athlone Town

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.50	1.70
	3.60	3.55	1.80
	4.59	3.90	1.73
	4.16	3.71	1.73	Watch
	5.05	4.00	1.61
	4.32	3.64	1.69
	3.95	3.45	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (4.04)	3.68 (3.68)	1.71 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finn Harps
21.6%

Draw
24.9%

Athlone Town
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

24.9%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

24.4%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finn Harps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Athlone Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Athlone Town aligns with the current prediction.

Finn Harps - Athlone Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sheridan C. (G) 2. Cullen J. 6. Bradley-Walsh J. 14. Coyle D. 3. Ferns R. 23. Mckenlay F. 8. Hutchison M. 10. McNamee T. (C) 18. Harkin C. 11. McAteer G. 16. Bosakani B.	1. Clarke B. (C) 27. Crawford J. 29. Kehir J. 5. O'Connor E. 7. Connolly D. 12. Brennan S. 19. Smith W. 24. Cleary C. 14. Lomboto G. 9. Ferry P. 18. Grogan P.
Substitutes
7. Benny 5. Brogan O. 41. Doherty L. 25. Lorenzo (G) 34. McAteer J. 24. McDaid A. 17. McGranaghan C. 28. McLaughlin A. 20. Priosti G.	36. Ayinde A. 23. Considine T. 33. Farnham J. 16. Lawless Z. 10. Lyons R. 22. O'Connor K. . Trainor A. 2. Webb R. 34. Zalewski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Grogan P. ⚽,
54', Brennan S. 🟨,
55', Bradley-Walsh J. ↓, McLaughlin A. ↑,
55', Bosakani B. ↓, Priosti G. ↑,
71', Ferry P. ↓, Lyons R. ↑,
71', Smith W. ↓, Lawless Z. ↑,
72', Mckenlay F. ↓, Benny ↑,
73', McLaughlin A. 🟨,
79', Lomboto G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 1.

Finn Harps has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Athlone Town has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Athlone Town is the team to beat.

We predict that Athlone Town will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Finn Harps won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Athlone	35	13	9	13	42:42	0	48
10	Finn Harps	35	6	7	22	31:70	-39	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finn Harps
Irish Division 1
28.08.26	University College Dublin - Finn Harps	5:4 ✺
21.08.26	Finn Harps - Cobh Ramblers	1:3 ✺
07.08.26	Bray Wanderers - Finn Harps	5:0 ✺
03.08.26	Longford Town - Finn Harps	5:0 ✺
31.07.26	Finn Harps - Cork City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Athlone Town
Irish Division 1
28.08.26	Athlone Town - Bray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Wexford - Athlone Town	0:2 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
14.08.26	Waterford - Athlone Town	2:1 ✺
Irish Division 1
07.08.26	Athlone Town - Longford Town	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Cork City - Athlone Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
26.06.26	Athlone Town - Finn Harps	1:1
24.04.26	Finn Harps - Athlone Town	1:2
13.02.26	Athlone Town - Finn Harps	2:1
22.08.25	Finn Harps - Athlone Town	2:1
20.06.25	Athlone Town - Finn Harps	0:0
09.05.25	Finn Harps - Athlone Town	0:2
28.03.25	Athlone Town - Finn Harps	0:1

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