The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Longford Town 33.9%
Draw 26%
Bray Wanderers 40.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.5%
26.8%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.1%
25.5%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Longford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Bray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Longford Town - Bray Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moore K. (G) 6. Adenekan S. 16. Bailey J. 10. Doran A. 21. Hough J. 5. McCarthy T. 20. O'Brien A. (C) 12. Omorehiomwan C. 23. Paraschiv A. 9. Ugbesia S. 14. Williams D.
13. Hogan R. (G) 11. Achara I. 3. Fagbemi B. 10. Ferizaj R. 2. Kizenga A. 18. McCormack B. 21. Mustali E. 12. Osagie D. 27. O'Shea D. (C) 20. Sammy T. 6. Sesay J. B.
Substitutes
18. Brady S. 3. Byrne A. 19. Campbell F. 24. Dawson R. 11. Harris M. 8. Manuel P. 4. McKenna D. 28. Moore S. 25. Woodcock L.
30. Cheese E. 4. Duggan J. 15. Kelly R. 7. Knight C. 25. McGuinnes S. (G) 17. Oluwabiyi A. 19. Reddy Z. 23. Ryan J. 16. Tucker K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Doran A. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Mustali E. ⚽,
23', Adenekan S. 🟨,
30', Sammy T. 🟨,
31', 2 - 1, McCarthy T. ⚽,
38', Fagbemi B. 🟨,
45', 3 - 1, Bailey J. ⚽,
45+2', Sesay J. B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', McCormack B. 🟨,
55', 4 - 1, Doran A. ⚽,
56', Sammy T. ↓, Oluwabiyi A. ↑,
56', Ferizaj R. ↓, Cheese E. ↑,
57', Sesay J. B. ↓, Ryan J. ↑,
64', Ugbesia S. ↓, Manuel P. ↑,
67', Achara I. ↓, Kelly R. ↑,
67', Fagbemi B. ↓, Duggan J. ↑,
70', Adenekan S. ↓, McKenna D. ↑,
70', Doran A. ↓, Moore S. ↑,
81', O'Brien A. 🟨,
81', Bailey J. ↓, Dawson R. ↑,
81', Williams D. ↓, Campbell F. ↑,
87', 4 - 2, Mustali E. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Longford won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Longford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Bray Wanderers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Longford won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Longford won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Longford Town - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.47%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.