Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday

Location: Finn Park (Ballybofey)

Referee: Reale A. (Irl)


	Finn Harps		Shelbourne

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.62
	2.65	3	2.6
	2.6	3.25	2.5
	2.6	3.1	2.7
	2.71	3.27	2.84
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.61	3.2	2.74
	2.6	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.61)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.68 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finn Harps
35.7%

Draw
29.6%

Shelbourne
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

28.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

28.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finn Harps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Finn Harps - Shelbourne Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Finn Harps will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 12 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelbourne: 30% – 70%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Finn Harps won 2.

Finn Harps is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Shelbourne is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shelbourne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Shelbourne have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Finn Harps won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Finn Harps won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finn Harps
Irish Premier Division
24.09.22	Finn Harps - Bohemians Dublin	0:2 ✺
11.09.22	Shamrock Rovers - Finn Harps	5:1 ✺
02.09.22	St Patricks Athletic - Finn Harps	2:1 ✺
19.08.22	Finn Harps - Sligo Rovers	3:2 ✺
12.08.22	University College Dublin - Finn Harps	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL
- Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division
22.09.22	Shelbourne - Shamrock Rovers	0:0 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
18.09.22	Shelbourne - Bohemians Dublin	3:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
09.09.22	Shelbourne - Sligo Rovers	0:2 ✺
02.09.22	Dundalk - Shelbourne	0:0 ✺
29.08.22	Shelbourne - Derry City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
08.07.22	Shelbourne - Finn Harps	3:1
29.04.22	Finn Harps - Shelbourne	1:0
18.03.22	Shelbourne - Finn Harps	0:3
19.09.20	Shelbourne - Finn Harps	1:1
04.08.20	Finn Harps - Shelbourne	0:1
Irish Division 1
20.07.18	Finn Harps - Shelbourne	0:0
11.05.18	Shelbourne - Finn Harps	0:0

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