Match Info

Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 22 June 2026, Monday

Location: Tolka Park (Dublin)

Referee: O'Sullivan K. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Shelbourne		Bohemians Dublin

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.60	3.10	2.55
	2.62	3.15	2.58
	2.78	3.25	2.75
	2.73	3.11	2.74	Watch
	2.63	3	2.63
	2.66	3.16	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.58)	3.15 (3.15)	2.62 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shelbourne
35%

Draw
29.5%

Bohemians Dublin
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

29.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bohemians Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bohemians Dublin than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	61.5%	7.7%

Shelbourne - Bohemians Dublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shelbourne will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Bohemians will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Speel W. (G) 25. Mbeng M. 2. Gannon S. 29. Barrett P. (C) 4. Ledwidge K. 18. Norris J. 21. Henry-Francis J. 5. Chapman E. 27. Caffrey E. 17. Kelly D. 7. Wood H.	25. Walters P. (G) 16. Power D. 12. Hickey P. 22. Todd S. 15. Mullen S. 10. Devoy D. (C) 6. Flores J. 32. Strods M. 26. Tierney R. 8. Vaughan H. 9. Whelan C.
Substitutes
15. Bone S. 9. Boyd S. 14. Coote A. 20. Freitas R. 24. Ibsen Rossi Z. 36. Jarvis W. 22. Moore S. 73. Moylan F. (G)	24. Byrne C. 1. Chorazka K. (G) 5. Diallo S. 28. Martin H. 17. McDonnell A. 4. Morahan N. 23. Myers Z. 7. Parsons C. 11. Rooney D.
Coaches
O'Brien J.	Reynolds A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Vaughan H. ⚽, Whelan C. (A),
23', Tierney R. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Whelan C. ⚽, Flores J. (A),
41', Gannon S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gannon S. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
46', Chapman E. ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
54', Wood H. ↓, Coote A. ↑,
65', Strods M. ↓, Rooney D. ↑,
66', Flores J. ↓, McDonnell A. ↑,
66', Kelly D. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
71', Barrett P. 🟨,
71', Vaughan H. ↓, Parsons C. ↑,
78', Boyd S. 🟨,
80', McDonnell A. 🟨,
81', Norris J. ↓, Moore S. ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Tierney R. ⚽, Whelan C. (A),
83', Caffrey E. 🟨,
84', Tierney R. ↓, Myers Z. ↑,
88', Boyd S. 🟨,
90+2', Coote A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 1.

Shelbourne is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Bohemians has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Shelbourne: Casey O. (Injury) McInroy K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shelbourne won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).

Outrights of Irish Premier Division for now

Bohemians: 20.48%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bohemians	32	17	8	7	57:38	19	59
6	Shelbourne	32	9	13	10	42:45	-3	40

Last Results with these Odds

Shelbourne - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.09%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division
19.06.26	Drogheda United - Shelbourne	2:2 ✺
12.06.26	Shelbourne - Shamrock Rovers	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Shelbourne - Galway United	1:1 ✺
25.05.26	Derry City - Shelbourne	0:0 ✺
22.05.26	Shelbourne - Waterford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWTTW
- Bohemians Dublin
Irish Premier Division
19.06.26	Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Derry City - Bohemians Dublin	4:1 ✺
29.05.26	Sligo Rovers - Bohemians Dublin	1:3 ✺
25.05.26	Bohemians Dublin - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
22.05.26	Galway United - Bohemians Dublin	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
04.05.26	Bohemians Dublin - Shelbourne	2:2
16.03.26	Shelbourne - Bohemians Dublin	0:0
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Bohemians Dublin - Shelbourne	2:2
Irish Premier Division
26.10.25	Bohemians Dublin - Shelbourne	2:3
09.08.25	Shelbourne - Bohemians Dublin	2:2
16.05.25	Bohemians Dublin - Shelbourne	1:0
11.04.25	Shelbourne - Bohemians Dublin	1:0

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