Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 5

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Curva Fiesole - Viola Park (Bagno a Ripoli)

Referee: Guitaldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 7
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Fiorentina		Roma

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.9
	3.14	3.72	2.06
	3.79	3.92	1.79	Watch
	3.53	3.5	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (3.79)	3.66 ↓ (3.92)	1.91 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
26.7%

Draw
25.1%

Roma
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

23.7%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

24.4%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fiorentina - Roma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fiskerstrand C. (G) 20. Orsi B. 22. Van Der Zanden I. 44. Faerge E. 16. Lombardi E. 18. Snerle E. 21. Severini E. (C) 26. Cherubini M. 15. Bredgaard S. 51. Omarsdottir I. 9. Janogy M.	1. Lukasova O. (G) 25. Thogersen F. 4. Heatley W. 6. Valdezate O. 2. Veje K. 20. Greggi G. 10. Giugliano M. (C) 8. Kuhl K. 11. Haavi E. 7. Viens E. 15. Dragoni G.
Substitutes
23. Bettineschi G. (G) 4. Bonfantini A. 24. Cetinja S. (G) 19. DellaPeruta V. 8. Hurtig L. 3. Johansen O. 7. Longo M. 27. Tryggvadottir K. 11. Wijnants S. 2. Woldvik E.	24. Baldi R. (G) 23. Bergamaschi V. 16. Corelli A. 3. Di Guglielmo L. 47. Galli G. 19. Oladipo S. 22. Pandini M. 21. Pante M. 78. Piekarska M. 17. Pilgrim A. 29. Rieke A. 36. Soggiu V. (G)
Coaches
Pinones-Arce P.	Rossettini L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Omarsdottir I. ⚽, Bredgaard S. (A),
10', Heatley W. 🟨,
22', Heatley W. 🟨,
29', Kuhl K. ↓, Di Guglielmo L. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', Dragoni G. ↓, Bergamaschi V. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Bredgaard S. ⚽, Van Der Zanden I. (A),
55', 3 - 0, Bredgaard S. ⚽, Cherubini M. (A),
61', Viens E. ↓, Corelli A. ↑,
61', Thogersen F. ↓, Pilgrim A. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Haavi E. ⚽, Greggi G. (A),
66', 4 - 1, Bergamaschi V. (Own goal),
71', 4 - 2, Giugliano M. (Pen),
72', Giugliano M. 🟨,
74', Cherubini M. ↓, Hurtig L. ↑,
74', Omarsdottir I. ↓, Bonfantini A. ↑,
74', Lombardi E. ↓, Woldvik E. ↑,
83', Haavi E. ↓, Galli G. ↑,
87', Bredgaard S. ↓, Tryggvadottir K. ↑,
90+1', Galli G. 🟨,
90+5', 5 - 2, Woldvik E. ⚽, Bonfantini A. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 0.

Fiorentina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Roma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Roma is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 16:47. (average 0.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:21. (average 0.6:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina Women FC
Italian Serie A Women
02.11.25	Sassuolo - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Fiorentina - Milan	4:3 ✺
11.10.25	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Napoli - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A Cup Women
14.09.25	Fiorentina - Genoa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTLW
- AS Roma Women
Italian Serie A Women
02.11.25	Roma - Inter Milan	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Napoli - Roma	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
15.10.25	Roma - Barcelona	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
12.10.25	Milan - Roma	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
08.10.25	Real Madrid - Roma	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
10.05.25	Fiorentina - Roma	0:1
29.03.25	Roma - Fiorentina	2:0
09.02.25	Fiorentina - Roma	0:0
Italian Super Cup Women
06.01.25	Roma - Fiorentina	3:1
Italian Serie A Women
09.11.24	Roma - Fiorentina	1:0
Coppa Italia Women
24.05.24	Roma - Fiorentina	4:3 penalties
Italian Serie A Women
19.05.24	Roma - Fiorentina	5:0

Fiorentina - Roma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide