Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 3

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fiorenzuola		AlbinoLeffe

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.65
	2.75	3.07	2.71
	2.7	2.88	2.55
	2.72	3.02	2.58
	2.75	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.3)	3.01 ↑ (2.98)	2.6 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorenzuola
34%

Draw
30.6%

AlbinoLeffe
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30.7%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

31.1%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorenzuola's form might have worsened.

AlbinoLeffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AlbinoLeffe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorenzuola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AlbinoLeffe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fiorenzuola - AlbinoLeffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 19. Sussi C. 23. Nava R. 4. Potop S. (C) 2. Gentile D. 5. Nelli J. 10. Di Quinzio D. 7. Gonzi J. 77. Beretta R. 21. Morello M. 18. Ceravolo F.	22. Marietta C. (G) 33. Borghini D. 5. Marchetti S. 44. Gatti R. 16. Gusu M. 6. Doumbia I. 4. Giorno F. 8. Brentan M. 27. Munari D. 11. Zoma M. A. 91. Longo S.
Substitutes
9. Alberti T. 90. Anelli N. 6. Bondioli A. 15. Coghetto F. 32. Di Gesu E. 22. Guadagno J. (G) 66. Kenzin D. 29. Musatti M. 11. Omoregbe B. M. 14. Oneto E. 33. Roteglia S. (G) 13. Seck A. 17. Silvestro A. 8. Stronati R.	95. Agostinelli M. 19. Angeloni M. 60. Arrighini A. 9. Carletti C. 7. Genevier G. 13. Milesi L. 20. Muzio C. 10. Piccoli M. 1. Pratelli L. (G) 23. Saltarelli M. 12. Taramelli M. (G) 17. Toccafondi D. 3. Zanini M.

Preview

Fiorenzuola has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches AlbinoLeffe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group A
10.09.23	Pro Sesto - Fiorenzuola	3:1 ✺
04.09.23	Fiorenzuola - Renate	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.23	Fiorenzuola - Novara	1:6 ✺
27.07.23	Pisa - Fiorenzuola	4:0 ✺
23.07.23	Modena - Fiorenzuola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLLT
- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
10.09.23	AlbinoLeffe - Triestina	1:2 ✺
04.09.23	Vicenza Virtus - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.23	Pro Patria - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	AlbinoLeffe - Villa Valle	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
23.02.22	AlbinoLeffe - Fiorenzuola	0:0
12.09.21	Fiorenzuola - AlbinoLeffe	0:2

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