Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 32

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: AlbinoLeffe (Zanica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	AlbinoLeffe		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	2.98	2.92
	2.44	2.95	3.2
	2.39	2.88	3.11	Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.9
	2.42	3.05	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.24)	2.93 ↓ (2.94)	3.04 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AlbinoLeffe
38.4%

Draw
31.3%

Giana Erminio
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

31.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

29.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Baldi G. (G) 2. Barba B. 23. Sottini E. 30. Baroni R. 7. Garattoni A. 19. Agostinelli M. 5. Mandelli A. 18. Parlati S. (C) 20. Ambrosini M. 10. De Paoli A. 11. Sali G.	1. Zenti A. (G) 26. Previtali M. 4. Piazza A. 18. Cannistra P. 90. Vitale V. 14. Marotta M. 8. Nelli J. 20. Renda F. 24. Ruffini L. 29. Samele L. 11. Galeandro A.
Substitutes
21. Angeloni M. 6. Astrologo A. 1. Di Chiara S. (G) 22. Facchetti L. (G) 16. Franchini F. 3. Giannini E. 8. Lombardi A. 60. Simonelli T. 9. Sorrentino L. 51. Trapletti M.	33. Albertini A. 32. Azzolari E. 5. Berretta A. 13. Colombara M. 19. Duca T. 97. Gabbiani G. 37. Lischetti L. 22. Mazza A. (G) 3. Nucifero T. 23. Occhipinti E. 7. Pinto D. 16. Rizzo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Vitale V. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Galeandro A. ⚽,
40', Ambrosini M. ↓, Giannini E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', 🟨,
64', Garattoni A. ↓, Trapletti M. ↑,
64', Agostinelli M. ↓, Sorrentino L. ↑,
66', Vitale V. ↓, Albertini A. ↑,
66', Nelli J. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
66', Piazza A. ↓, Colombara M. ↑,
73', Samele L. ↓, Gabbiani G. ↑,
84', De Paoli A. ↓, Angeloni M. ↑,
84', Sottini E. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
85', Renda F. ↓, Occhipinti E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 1.

AlbinoLeffe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Giana Erminio has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Giana Erminio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, AlbinoLeffe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

AlbinoLeffe - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.79%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Giana Erminio - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.09%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.26	Inter U23 - AlbinoLeffe	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	AlbinoLeffe - Brescia	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	AlbinoLeffe - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lecco - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	AlbinoLeffe - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWLTW
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.26	Giana Erminio - Vicenza Virtus	1:3 ✺
03.03.26	Alcione - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Novara - Giana Erminio	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Lumezzane - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
09.11.25	Giana Erminio - AlbinoLeffe	1:1
26.01.25	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	0:3
20.09.24	Giana Erminio - AlbinoLeffe	0:2
01.03.24	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	0:0
24.10.23	Giana Erminio - AlbinoLeffe	0:0
Club Friendly
19.08.23	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
29.01.22	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	1:2

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