Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Play Out - Final

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	Fiorenzuola		Novara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.6	3.2	2.6
	2.76	2.98	2.73
	2.65	3.17	2.58	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.52)	3.11 ↓ (3.29)	2.59 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fiorenzuola
35.1%

Draw
29.5%

Novara
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28.1%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27.6%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorenzuola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Fiorenzuola - Novara Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 11. Bocic M. 18. Ceravolo F. 26. Cremonesi M. (C) 30. D'Amico F. 32. Di Gesu E. 3. Maffei M. 27. Mora L. 14. Oneto E. 4. Potop S. 19. Sussi C.	1. Minelli S. (G) 18. Bentivegna A. 6. Bertoncini D. 26. Boccia S. 8. Di Munno A. 7. Gerardini F. 35. Lorenzini F. 30. Migliardi F. 13. Ongaro E. 21. Ranieri R. (C) 3. Urso O.
Substitutes
9. Alberti T. 90. Anelli N. 22. Bertozzi R. (G) 8. Binelli D. 6. Bondioli A. 28. Brogni G. 21. Morello M. 29. Musatti M. 5. Nelli J. 20. Popovic G. 33. Roteglia S. (G) 13. Seck A.	5. Bonaccorsi S. 28. Cannavaro A. 29. Caravaca T. 11. Corti N. 31. Desjardins A. (G) 79. Lancini E. 22. Menegaldo T. (G) 42. Ngamba A. 14. Schiro T. 77. Vilhjalmsson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', D'Amico F. 🟨,
14', Oneto E. 🟨,
21', Gerardini F. ↓, Corti N. ↑,
30', Sussi C. ↓, Nelli J. ↑,
36', 0 - 1, Urso O. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Bentivegna A. (Pen),
45+4', 0 - 3, Ongaro E. ⚽,
45+6', Bocic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Oneto E. ↓, Morello M. ↑,
52', Maffei M. 🟨,
57', Maffei M. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
64', Boccia S. ↓, Bonaccorsi S. ↑,
64', Bentivegna A. ↓, Ngamba A. ↑,
70', Cremonesi M. ↓, Musatti M. ↑,
70', D'Amico F. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Anelli N. ⚽,
80', Mora L. 🟨,
86', Ongaro E. ↓, Vilhjalmsson A. ↑,
90+5', Anelli N. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Fiorenzuola is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Novara is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Fiorenzuola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie C Group A
28.04.24	Novara - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Fiorenzuola - Padova	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Fiorenzuola	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Fiorenzuola - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Giana Erminio - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLWL
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
28.04.24	Novara - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Triestina - Novara	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Novara - Legnago Salus	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Vicenza Virtus - Novara	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Novara - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.04.24	Novara - Fiorenzuola	2:0
22.12.23	Fiorenzuola - Novara	1:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Novara	2:3
Club Friendly
02.08.23	Fiorenzuola - Novara	1:6

Upcoming Matches