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Current Win Probability
First Vienna 39.3%
Draw 27.6%
St. Pölten 33.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.3%
25.3%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
24.3%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
First Vienna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that First Vienna's form might have worsened.
St. Pölten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Pölten's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for First Vienna than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for First Vienna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Pölten, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
10%
0%
First Vienna - St. Pölten Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
First Vienna will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Unger B. (G) 24. Marte R. 23. Gantschnig M. 4. Breit P. 25. Bauer J. (C) 17. Rosenberger B. 7. Monschein C. 19. Prohart F. 66. Ungar D. 77. Edelhofer L. 11. Soukouna Y.
1. Knett C. (G) 4. Szerencsi N. 6. Borkovic A. 15. Skogen S. 7. Amoah W. 8. Messerer C. 34. Krasniqi L. 10. Stendera M. (C) 22. Mane E. H. 45. Gabriel Jesus D. 11. Gabbichler L.
Substitutes
10. Anselm T. 22. Gruber T. 9. Jung I. 33. Kretschmer K. (G) 32. Luckeneder F. 8. Luxbacher B. 18. Zimmermann B.
18. Altersberger T. 5. Buchegger L. 20. Halmich J. 28. Hartwig L. 27. Kolodziejczyk M. 32. Kurz M. (G) 19. Rupp P.
Coaches
Enengl P.
Sekerlioglu C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Soukouna Y. ⚽, Rosenberger B. (A),
14', Soukouna Y. 🟨,
38', Gabriel Jesus D. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Breit P. (Own goal),
45', Monschein C. 🟨,
45', Skogen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Bauer J. 🟨,
57', Monschein C. ↓, Zimmermann B. ↑,
57', Edelhofer L. ↓, Anselm T. ↑,
57', Amoah W. ↓, Altersberger T. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Anselm T. ⚽, Marte R. (A),
64', Ungar D. ↓, Luxbacher B. ↑,
65', Breit P. ↓, Gruber T. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Zimmermann B. ⚽, Anselm T. (A),
67', Messerer C. ↓, Hartwig L. ↑,
70', Szerencsi N. 🟨,
82', Gabbichler L. ↓, Rupp P. ↑,
84', Soukouna Y. ↓, Jung I. ↑,
89', Gantschnig M. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, First Vienna won 3.
First Vienna is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
St. Pölten has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
St. Pölten could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, First Vienna has faced a series of away games on the road.
First Vienna is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, First Vienna has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:35 (averaging 1.8:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for First Vienna against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 17:17 goals (averaging 1.9:1.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
First Vienna
10
8
1
1
21:9
12
25
12
St. Polten
10
3
2
5
8:10
-2
11
Last Results with these Odds
First Vienna - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.3%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Austria
Germany
Switzerland
International
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Unger B. (G) 
Soukouna Y. 
Skogen S. 
Stendera M. (C) 
Mane E. H. 
Gabriel Jesus D. 
Jung I. 
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