Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 1

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Aracaju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, BandSports, Brasileirao Play, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
World	Fanatiz


	Flamengo		Boavista

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	4.1
	1.8	3.75	4	Watch
	1.75	3.84	3.88
	1.75	3.6	3.9
	1.76	3.84	3.93	Watch
	1.8	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.27)	3.78 ↓ (5.13)	3.97 ↓ (9.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
52.3%

Draw
24.4%

Boavista
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.6%

18%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flamengo's form might have worsened.

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boavista's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Flamengo - Boavista Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Boavista will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boavista: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Dyogo Alves (G) 28. Carlinhos 33. Cleiton 42. Fabiano 47. Guilherme 19. Lorran 21. Pablo (C) 35. Rayan 51. Sales D. 32. Thiaguinho 39. Welinton Z.	12. Andre Luiz (G) 14. Caetano 19. Gabriel Caran 22. Martha (C) 30. Matheus Alessandro 6. Matheus Mascarenhas 16. Rai 2. Vitor Ricardo 26. Xandao 8. Ze Mateus 18. Ze Vitor
Substitutes
70. Ainoa 50. Alves J. 67. Couto R. 41. Da Mata 62. Daniel Rogerio 40. Felipe Teresa 55. Garcia C. 24. Lucas Furtado (G) 53. Lucyan 69. Santos G. 54. Shola 63. Viera F.	7. Abner Vinicius 13. Alyson 23. Ben-Hur 1. Diego Loureiro (G) 10. Erick Flores 11. Fellipe Resende 9. Gabriel Conceicao 25. Khawhan 29. Leandrinho 3. Sheldon
Coaches
Filipe Luis	Zanardi C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Ze Vitor ⚽,
45+1', Fabiano 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Carlinhos ⚽,
58', Gabriel Caran 🟨,
59', Ze Vitor ↓, Gabriel Conceicao ↑,
65', Caetano ↓, Fellipe Resende ↑,
65', Martha ↓, Sheldon ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Rai ⚽,
70', Fabiano ↓, Joao Alves ↑,
70', Guilherme ↓, Ogundana Shola ↑,
71', Thiaguinho 🟨,
78', Pablo 🟨,
81', Thiaguinho ↓, Felipe Teresa ↑,
82', Rayan Lucas ↓, Caio Garcia ↑,
84', Carlinhos 🟨,
85', Matheus Alessandro ↓, Abner Vinicius ↑,
86', Matheus Mascarenhas ↓, Alyson ↑,
90+1', Daniel Sales ↓, Santos G. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 4.

Flamengo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Flamengo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Flamengo to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 36:7 (average 2.6:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Flamengo won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23:3 (average 2.6:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
04.12.24	Criciúma - Flamengo	0:3 ✺
01.12.24	Flamengo - Internacional RS	3:2 ✺
26.11.24	Fortaleza - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
20.11.24	Cuiabá - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWTW
- Boavista SC
Brazilian Copa Rio
28.08.24	Boavista - Olaria	0:3 ✺
21.08.24	Olaria - Boavista	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.24	Boavista - Tondela	2:3 ✺
27.07.24	Lusitânia - Boavista	1:1 ✺
18.07.24	Boavista - Leixões	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
20.02.24	Flamengo - Boavista	4:0
01.02.23	Flamengo - Boavista	1:0
02.02.22	Flamengo - Boavista	3:0
27.03.21	Boavista - Flamengo	1:1
01.07.20	Flamengo - Boavista	2:0
22.02.20	Boavista - Flamengo	1:2
29.01.19	Flamengo - Boavista	3:1

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