Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 2

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Flamengo		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.5	7.5
	1.39	4.7	7.4
	1.44	4.92	7.4
	1.43	4.87	7.11	Watch
	1.4	4.4	7
	1.45	4.63	8.12	Watch
	1.4	4.75	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)	4.68 ↑ (3.95)	7.5 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
67%

Draw
20.3%

Internacional RS
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

23.7%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

25.6%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Flamengo - Internacional RS Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 22. Emerson Royal 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 26. Alex Sandro 5. Pulgar E. 18. de la Cruz N. 20. Lucas Paqueta 10. de Arrascaeta G. 11. Everton 27. Bruno Henrique (C)	1. Rochet S. (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 25. Mercado G. 41. Victor Gabriel 28. Vitinho 27. Paulinho Paula 16. Ronaldo 26. Bernabei A. 7. Carbonero J. 10. Alan Patrick (C) 19. Borre R.
Substitutes
6. Ayrton Lucas 15. Carrascal J. 51. Daniel Sales 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 81. Douglas Telles 52. Evertton Araujo 9. Pedro 19. Plata G. 16. Samuel Lino 2. Varela G. 44. Vitao 64. Wallace Yan	35. Aguirre B. 9. Alerrandro 31. Allex 24. Anthoni (G) 8. Bruno Henrique 17. Bruno Tabata 32. Diego Esser (G) 47. Gustavo Prado 44. Joao Victor 18. Juninho 29. Thiago Maia 4. Torres F.
Coaches
Filipe Luis	Pezzolano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Lucas Paqueta 🟨,
5', Ronaldo 🟨,
22', Vitinho 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Borre R. ⚽, Carbonero J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bruno Henrique ↓, Pedro ↑,
46', Emerson Royal ↓, Varela G. ↑,
57', Vitinho ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
57', Ronaldo ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
63', de la Cruz N. 🟨,
64', Everton ↓, Samuel Lino ↑,
64', Lucas Paqueta ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. (Penalty Awarded),
73', de la Cruz N. ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
81', Mercado G. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
86', Borre R. ↓, Alerrandro ↑,
86', Carbonero J. ↓, Thiago Maia ↑,
89', Varela G. 🟨,
90+1', Mercado G. 🟨,
90+4', Samuel Lino 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 4.

Recent form of Flamengo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Internacional's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Flamengo is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Flamengo: Allan (Inactive) Jorginho (Red Card) Niguez S. (Heel Injury) Wallace Yan (Inactive)

There will not play in Internacional: Richard (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	29	18	7	4	57:25	32	61
17	Internacional	29	7	10	12	32:37	-5	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Supercopa do Brasil
01.02.26	Flamengo - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	São Paulo - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
25.01.26	Fluminense - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Volta Redonda - Flamengo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
31.01.26	Caxias - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	Internacional RS - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
25.01.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	4:2 ✺
21.01.26	Internacional RS - Inter Santa Maria	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Ypiranga - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
20.08.25	Internacional RS - Flamengo	0:2
Brazilian Serie A
17.08.25	Internacional RS - Flamengo	1:3
Copa Libertadores
13.08.25	Flamengo - Internacional RS	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
29.03.25	Flamengo - Internacional RS	1:1
01.12.24	Flamengo - Internacional RS	3:2
30.10.24	Internacional RS - Flamengo	1:1
26.08.23	Flamengo - Internacional RS	0:0

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