Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 37

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol
Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Portugal	Canal 11
World	El Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz


	Criciúma		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.3
	3.1	3.5	2.2
	3.14	3.74	2.29
	3.1	3.62	2.22	Watch
	2.88	3.5	2.25
	3.14	3.74	2.23	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	3.6 ↑ (3.57)	2.24 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
31%

Draw
26.4%

Flamengo
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

26.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

25.4%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	23.1%	61.5%

Criciúma - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Flamengo will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 20. Dudu 33. Walisson Maia 29. Figueiredo T. 14. Trauco M. 88. Gustavo Barreto 6. Ronald Lopes 11. Bolasie Y. 17. Matheusinho 22. Marcelo Hermes (C) 45. Arthur Caike	25. Matheus Cunha (G) 2. Varela G. 15. Fabricio Bruno 23. David Luiz 6. Ayrton Lucas 5. Pulgar E. 52. Evertton 37. Alcaraz C. 45. Plata G. 27. Bruno Henrique (C) 20. Matheus Goncalves
Substitutes
25. Alisson (G) 27. Claudinho 15. Eliedson 9. Felipe Vizeu 7. Fellipe Mateus 50. Jhonata Robert 13. Jonathan 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 85. Patrick de Paula 28. Pedro Rocha 80. Ruan 77. Werik Popo	29. Allan 41. Da Mata 42. Fabiano H. A. d. S. 40. Felipe Teresa 47. Guilherme 50. Joao Alves 61. Joao Victor 3. Leo Ortiz 24. Lucas Furtado (G) 7. Luiz Araujo 30. Michael 43. Wesley
Coaches
Claudio Tencati	Filipe Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Varela G. ⚽, Ayrton Lucas (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Trauco M. ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
46', Matheusinho ↓, Marquinhos Gabriel ↑,
60', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
60', Alcaraz C. ↓, Michael ↑,
61', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Pedro Rocha ↑,
61', Arthur Caike ↓, Felipe Vizeu ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Bruno Henrique (Pen),
75', Evertton ↓, Allan ↑,
75', Ayrton Lucas ↓, Wesley ↑,
79', Bolasie Y. ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Luiz Araujo ⚽, Pulgar E. (A),
87', Bruno Henrique ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
90+4', Felipe Vizeu 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Flamengo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )

Criciúma has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Flamengo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Flamengo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Flamengo will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Flamengo: Everton (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pedro (Knee Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Criciúma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:12 (average 0.6:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Criciúma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie A
30.11.24	Criciúma - Corinthians	2:4 ✺
26.11.24	Fluminense - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
20.11.24	Criciúma - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Cruzeiro - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Internacional RS - Criciúma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLL
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
01.12.24	Flamengo - Internacional RS	3:2 ✺
26.11.24	Fortaleza - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
20.11.24	Cuiabá - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
13.11.24	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.11.24	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
20.07.24	Flamengo - Criciúma	2:1
23.11.14	Flamengo - Criciúma	1:1
24.08.14	Criciúma - Flamengo	0:2
29.09.13	Flamengo - Criciúma	4:1
08.06.13	Criciúma - Flamengo	0:3

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