Match Info

Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Flamengo de Guarulhos U20		Ferroviaria U20

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.40	1.75
	4	3.35	1.75
	4.21	3.4	1.72
	4.26	3.48	1.75	Watch
	4.15	3.35	1.7
	4.12	3.61	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (2.9)	3.43 ↑ (3.25)	1.74 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo de Guarulhos U20
22%

Draw
26.3%

Ferroviaria U20
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.5%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

26.5%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flamengo de Guarulhos U20's form might have worsened.

Ferroviaria U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferroviaria U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flamengo de Guarulhos U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviaria U20 than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferroviaria U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - Ferroviaria U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 🟥,
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 🟥,
90+4', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals) and 4th in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals)).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Flamengo SP U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Ferroviaria U20 for this game.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo de Guarulhos U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.09.26	Ituano U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20	3:0 ✺
21.08.26	Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - Capivariano U20	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Tanabi U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - Grêmio Osasco Audax U20	0:0 ✺
31.07.26	Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - Grêmio Prudente U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLTW
- Ferroviária U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.09.26	Ferroviaria U20 - São Bento U20	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sertãozinho U20 - Ferroviaria U20	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Ferroviaria U20 - Jabaquara U20	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Ferroviaria U20 - União Suzano U20	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Corinthians U20 - Ferroviaria U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWTL

Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - Ferroviaria U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide