Match Info

EFL Trophy

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Miller A. (Eng)


	Fleetwood Town		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	3.25	4.20	1.83	Watch
	3.25	3.80	1.82
	3.30	4.00	1.77	Watch
	3.51	4.16	1.89
	3.21	4.55	1.88	Watch
	3.45	3.95	1.87
	3.32	4.29	1.87	Watch
	3.30	4.10	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.26)	4.13 ↑ (3.65)	1.85 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
27.8%

Draw
22.3%

Barnsley
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

25.6%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

24.7%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Fleetwood Town - Barnsley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pradic J. (G) 26. Rooney S. (C) 5. Potter F. 32. Hughes K. 28. Robertson J. 29. Cirino R. 30. Lane M. 35. Costelloe S. 36. Dempsey J. 19. Coughlan R. 9. Davies W.	25. Ravenhill R. (G) 12. Okedina J. 6. O'Riordan C. 5. Shepherd J. 2. Kay A. 48. Connell L. 45. Yoganathan V. (C) 32. Brownlie R. 13. Taylor C. 19. Cleary R. 39. Farrell L.
Substitutes
41. Bamba M. 34. Bellizia O. (G) 6. Bennett R. 20. Loupalo-Bi A. 15. Murphy A. 23. Roberts L. 43. Sawkins N.	36. Alker L. 44. Dunne T. 51. Flavell K. (G) 4. Gale S. 41. Graham K. 46. Reid O. 17. Richards A.
Coaches
Lawlor M.	Stendel D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Cirino R. 🟨,
40', Lane M. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Potter F. ↓, Bennett R. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Coughlan R. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Yoganathan V. ↓, Graham K. ↑,
60', Shepherd J. ↓, Gale S. ↑,
60', Cleary R. ↓, Alker L. ↑,
61', Farrell L. ↓, Reid O. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Davies W. ⚽, Dempsey J. (A),
65', Coughlan R. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Loupalo-Bi A. ⚽,
71', Rooney S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
71', Costelloe S. ↓, Roberts L. ↑,
71', Davies W. ↓, Sawkins N. ↑,
72', Robertson J. 🟨,
76', Taylor C. ↓, Richards A. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Brownlie R. ⚽, Richards A. (A),
87', 4 - 1, Sawkins N. ⚽, Roberts L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 0.

Fleetwood is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Barnsley is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Fleetwood may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Barnsley is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Fleetwood has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:23 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fleetwood against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 3:10 goals (averaging 0.5:1.7 per game).

Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now

Barnsley: 1.57%

Last Results with these Odds

Barnsley - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.77%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English League Two
03.10.26	Salford City - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Fleetwood Town - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Barnet - Fleetwood Town	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.26	Fleetwood Town - Sheffield United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLLLW
- Barnsley FC
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Barnsley - Leeds United U21	3:4 ✺
English League One
19.09.26	Barnsley - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.26	Peterborough United - Barnsley	4:3 penalties ✺
English League One
12.09.26	Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Barnsley - Stevenage Borough	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
13.08.25	Barnsley - Fleetwood Town	3:2 penalties
English League One
17.02.24	Fleetwood Town - Barnsley	1:2
28.10.23	Barnsley - Fleetwood Town	2:2
29.12.22	Barnsley - Fleetwood Town	2:1
01.10.22	Fleetwood Town - Barnsley	0:1
13.04.19	Barnsley - Fleetwood Town	4:2
29.09.18	Fleetwood Town - Barnsley	1:3

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