Match Info

EFL Trophy

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)


	Barnsley		Leeds United U21

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	4.50
	1.46	4.60	4.75
	1.29	5.60	6.40
	1.50	4.81	5.73
	1.27	6.3	8.4	Watch
	1.45	4.75	5.65
	1.54	4.92	4.66
	1.47	4.90	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.34)	5.08 ↓ (5.7)	5.66 ↑ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
65.1%

Draw
18.4%

Leeds United U21
16.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.6%

15.9%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

16.3%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

The chances for Leeds United U21 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United U21 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Barnsley - Leeds United U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Barnsley (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Flavell K. (G) 38. Saunders N. 12. Okedina J. 5. Shepherd J. 33. Woodcock R. 13. Taylor C. 48. Connell L. (C) 30. Bland J. 36. Alker L. 10. Toure B. 39. Farrell L.	48. Mahady R. (G) 63. Lane F. 62. Enahoro L. 56. Egan-Riley R. 75. Philpott L. 66. Pickles O. (C) 50. Cresswell A. 60. Vincent H. 72. Mills C. 55. McDonald J. 47. Chadwick-Chaplin R.
Substitutes
32. Brownlie R. 44. Dunne T. 41. Graham K. 25. Ravenhill R. (G) 17. Richards A. 34. Town N. 45. Yoganathan V.	58. Cook R. (G) 51. Hodja D. 68. Matykiewicz L. 67. Render J. 73. Whitehead L. 86. White L.
Coaches
Stendel D.	Gardner S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
19', 0 - 1, Mills C. ⚽, McDonald J. (A),
34', Shepherd J. 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Mills C. ⚽, Vincent H. (A),
43', 0 - 3, McDonald J. ⚽, Vincent H. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Saunders N. ↓, Yoganathan V. ↑,
46', Farrell L. ↓, Town N. ↑,
46', Toure B. ↓, Brownlie R. ↑,
46', Alker L. ↓, Richards A. ↑,
60', Taylor C. ↓, Graham K. ↑,
66', Graham K. 🟨,
70', 0 - 4, Mills C. ⚽, Chadwick-Chaplin R. (A),
71', Egan-Riley R. ↓, Matykiewicz L. ↑,
76', McDonald J. ↓, Hodja D. ↑,
79', Matykiewicz L. 🟨,
80', 1 - 4, Yoganathan V. ⚽, Shepherd J. (A),
84', 2 - 4, Richards A. ⚽, Brownlie R. (A),
87', 3 - 4, Connell L. ⚽, Yoganathan V. (A),
90', Mills C. ↓, Render J. ↑,
90', Philpott L. ↓, Balmer L. ↑,

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Barnsley (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Leeds U21 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Leeds U21 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Leeds U21 has had a run of games away from home.

Barnsley holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League One
19.09.26	Barnsley - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.26	Peterborough United - Barnsley	4:3 penalties ✺
English League One
12.09.26	Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Barnsley - Stevenage Borough	1:5 ✺
02.09.26	Barnsley - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLLW
- Leeds United U21
English Premier League 2
19.09.26	Leeds United U21 - Newcastle United U21	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Middlesbrough U21 - Leeds United U21	4:4 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Solihull Moors - Leeds United U21	2:3 ✺
English Premier League Cup
04.09.26	Charlton Athletic U21 - Leeds United U21	1:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
30.08.26	Liverpool U21 - Leeds United U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWLL

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