Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Woods M. (Eng)


	Fleetwood Town		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.5
	2.55	3.4	2.55
	2.6	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.61	3.6	2.61
	2.59	3.47	2.56	Watch
	2.62	3.4	2.6
	2.6	3.46	2.52	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.37)	3.49 ↑ (3.45)	2.56 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
36.3%

Draw
26.9%

Bradford City
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

27.7%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Fleetwood Town - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bradford will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harrington D. (G) 5. Bolton J. 25. Potter F. 26. Shaw L. 8. Virtue-Thick M. (C) 2. Johnston C. 17. Helm M. 10. Mayor D. 16. Hunt M. 19. Coughlan R. 7. Graydon R.	1. Walker S. (G) 27. Benn J. 2. Halliday B. 5. Byrne N. 3. Richards L. 7. Walker J. 6. Smallwood R. (C) 23. Pointon B. 8. Kavanagh C. 19. Oliver V. 9. Cook A.
Substitutes
11. Broom R. 9. Harratt K. 32. Hughes K. 14. Lonergan T. 13. Lynch J. (G) 20. Odubeko A. 44. Patterson P.	39. Diabate C. 13. Doyle C. (G) 55. Goodman G. 20. Huntington P. 12. Oduor C. 21. Sanderson O. 14. Smith T.
Coaches
Adam C.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Coughlan R. (Pen),
36', Shaw L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Oliver V. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
72', Kavanagh C. ↓, Sanderson O. ↑,
73', Coughlan R. ↓, Harratt K. ↑,
84', Helm M. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
86', Benn J. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 3.

Fleetwood is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bradford is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fleetwood could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Reading - Fleetwood Town	2:0 ✺
English League Two
29.10.24	Fleetwood Town - Salford City	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Newport County - Fleetwood Town	0:0 ✺
22.10.24	Fleetwood Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Port Vale - Fleetwood Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTTLL
- Bradford City
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Bradford City - Aldershot Town	3:1 ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Bradford City - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Cheltenham Town - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Bradford City - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Tranmere Rovers - Bradford City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
09.02.19	Bradford City - Fleetwood Town	0:1
01.09.18	Fleetwood Town - Bradford City	2:1
01.01.18	Fleetwood Town - Bradford City	1:2
26.09.17	Bradford City - Fleetwood Town	0:3
07.05.17	Fleetwood Town - Bradford City	0:0
04.05.17	Bradford City - Fleetwood Town	1:0
14.02.17	Fleetwood Town - Bradford City	2:1

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