The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport County 29.9%
Draw 27.5%
Fleetwood Town 42.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
26.6%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
25.6%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Newport County - Fleetwood Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wright J. (G) 22. Norman C. 5. Jenkins L. 4. Cameron K. (C) 16. Jacob M. 24. Dibley-Dias M. 6. Brennan C. 23. Adu Poku M. 10. Biggins H. 9. Gwengwe S. 27. Doidge C.
1. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 6. Bennett R. 5. Potter F. 4. Neal H. 29. Cirino R. 15. Murphy A. 10. Helm M. 14. McCann L. 17. Evans C. (C) 19. Coughlan R.
Substitutes
20. Bamba Y. 17. Evans K. 21. Nyakuhwa T. 34. Sassi D. 8. Smith M. 12. Thomas J. 33. Turner J. (G)
3. Andrew D. 9. Davies W. 36. Dempsey J. 20. Loupalo-Bi A. 27. McLean C. 22. Pradic J. (G) 28. Robertson J.
Coaches
Mullins H.
Lawlor M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Helm M. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Doidge C. ⚽, Jacob M. (A),
41', Potter F. 🟨,
45+1', Evans C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Rooney S. 🟨,
57', Helm M. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
57', Cirino R. ↓, Andrew D. ↑,
63', Evans C. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
63', Coughlan R. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Loupalo-Bi A. ⚽,
69', Adu Poku M. ↓, Bamba Y. ↑,
69', Gwengwe S. ↓, Evans K. ↑,
79', Murphy A. ↓, Robertson J. ↑,
82', Jacob M. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
89', Doidge C. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
89', Dibley-Dias M. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
90+6', Bennett R. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 0.
Newport is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fleetwood is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Fleetwood has had a series of home games.
Fleetwood is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Newport: Crole J.
(Inactive)
Davies T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Fleetwood: Thompson-Sommers K.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Cannon A.
(Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Newport won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Newport
10
3
4
3
13:12
1
13
16
Fleetwood
10
2
5
3
10:11
-1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Newport County - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.56%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
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Wright J. (G) 
Jenkins L. 
Cameron K. (C) 
Dibley-Dias M. 
Brennan C. 
Cirino R. 
McCann L. 
Bamba Y. 
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