The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fleetwood Town 22.4%
Draw 28.9%
Crewe Alexandra 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
29.5%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
29.1%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fleetwood Town's form might have worsened.
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crewe Alexandra's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+18%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-18.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
33.3%
58.3%
Fleetwood Town - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Crewe will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 30.4% – 86.2%.
13. Lynch J. (C) 44. Mullarkey T. 4. Bolton J. 3. Medley Z. 26. Rooney S. 8. Virtue-Thick M. 20. Neal H. 33. Hume D. 10. Helm M. 9. Davies W. 7. Graydon R.
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. 18. Connolly J. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 3. Hutchinson R. 19. Lunt O. 23. Powell J. 26. O'Reilly T. 6. Sanders M. H. 20. Agius C. 24. March J.
Substitutes
17. Evans C. 1. Harrington D. (G) 25. Johnson W. 23. Morrison G. 11. Norwood J. 5. Potter F. 34. Roberts L.
22. Croker P. 14. Finney C. 16. Golding J. 32. Moore L. 36. Tezgel E. 29. Thibaut A. 13. Waller S. (G)
Coaches
Wild P.
Bell L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Mullarkey T. (Own goal),
22', 0 - 2, March J. ⚽, Lunt O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mullarkey T. ↓, Potter F. ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Agius C. ⚽, Lunt O. (A),
56', 0 - 4, Hutchinson R. ⚽, Powell J. (A),
56', Davies W. 🟨,
57', Rooney S. 🟨,
61', Graydon R. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
61', Davies W. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
67', Lunt O. 🟨,
67', Lynch J. 🟨,
67', Powell J. 🟨,
68', Powell J. ↓, Golding J. ↑,
68', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Morrison G. ↑,
69', Rooney S. ↓, Johnson W. ↑,
73', March J. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
73', O'Reilly T. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
77', Demetriou M. 🟨,
77', Evans C. 🟨,
77', 1 - 4, Norwood J. (Pen),
82', Booth T. 🟨,
83', Norwood J. 🟨,
84', Lunt O. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
90+4', Morrison G. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3.
Fleetwood is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Crewe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:11. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
United-kingdom
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Lynch J. (C) 
Rooney S. 
Graydon R. 
Connolly J. 
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