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Current Win Probability
Fleetwood Town 31%
Draw 27.5%
Doncaster Rovers 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.1%
27.8%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
29%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fleetwood Town's form might have worsened.
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Doncaster Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
45.5%
36.4%
Fleetwood Town - Doncaster Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Doncaster will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Harrington D. (G) 26. Shaw L. 5. Bolton J. 15. Bennett R. 25. Potter F. 2. Johnston C. 17. Helm M. 8. Virtue-Thick M. (C) 44. Patterson P. 7. Graydon R. 19. Coughlan R.
19. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 5. Olowu J. 4. Anderson T. 25. McGrath J. 2. Sterry J. 8. Broadbent G. 17. Bailey O. (C) 3. Maxwell J. 20. Ironside J. 14. Sharp B. 21. Hurst K.
Substitutes
11. Broom R. 31. Devonport O. 9. Harratt K. 32. Hughes K. 16. Hunt M. 13. Lynch J. (G) 10. Mayor D.
15. Clifton H. 11. Gibson J. 22. Kelly P. 1. Lawlor I. (G) 7. Molyneux L. 10. Sbarra J. 23. Senior J.
Coaches
Adam C.
McCann G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
9', Anderson T. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Hurst K. ⚽, Ironside J. (A),
19', Bolton J. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Helm M. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Bailey O. ⚽, McGrath J. (A),
40', Johnston C. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
42', 2 - 2, Graydon R. ⚽, Coughlan R. (A),
45+3', 2 - 3, Sharp B. ⚽, Olowu J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Sterry J. 🟨,
68', 2 - 4, Bennett R. (Own goal),
69', Coughlan R. ↓, Harratt K. ↑,
69', Potter F. ↓, Mayor D. ↑,
69', Patterson P. ↓, Hunt M. ↑,
69', Hurst K. ↓, Molyneux L. ↑,
70', Maxwell J. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
76', Sharp B. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
83', Graydon R. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
90+3', Sharman-Lowe T. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 4.
Recent matches Fleetwood is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Doncaster is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fleetwood could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Doncaster will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:11 (average 1.4:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:3 (average 1.6:0.4).
United-kingdom
Watch
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Harrington D. (G) 
Shaw L. 
Johnston C. 
Patterson P. 
Broom R. 
Hunt M. 
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