The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carlisle United 22.9%
Draw 26.3%
Doncaster Rovers 50.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
27.5%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28%
27.6%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Doncaster Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Carlisle United - Doncaster Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
Doncaster Rovers will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Breeze G. (G) 6. Hayden A. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 22. Mellish J. 37. Burey T. 8. Guy C. 3. Harper C. 20. Williams B. 40. Harris K. 14. Adu Adjei D. 24. Sadi D.
19. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 2. Sterry J. 5. Olowu J. 25. McGrath J. 3. Maxwell J. 7. Molyneux L. 17. Bailey O. (C) 21. Hurst K. 22. Kelly P. 23. Senior J. 14. Sharp B.
Substitutes
29. Armstrong L. 18. Ellis J. 9. Kelly G. 1. Lewis H. (G) 21. McGeouch D. 17. Neal H. 16. Vela J.
4. Anderson T. 8. Broadbent G. 11. Gibson J. 20. Ironside J. 1. Lawlor I. (G) 16. Nixon T. 10. Sbarra J.
Coaches
Williamson M.
McCann G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Maxwell J. 🟨,
31', Molyneux L. 🟨,
45+1', McGrath J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Mellish J. 🟨,
68', Maxwell J. ↓, Nixon T. ↑,
68', Sharp B. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
68', Hurst K. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
70', Harris K. ↓, Vela J. ↑,
71', Williams B. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
76', Hayden A. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
80', Sterry J. ↓, Sbarra J. ↑,
85', Burey T. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
86', Guy C. ↓, McGeouch D. ↑,
90+6', McGrath J. 🟥,
90+7', Sbarra J. ↓, Anderson T. ↑,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2.
Recent matches Carlisle is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Doncaster is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Doncaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Doncaster is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.7:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).
Watch
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Breeze G. (G) 
Lavelle S. (C) 
Williams B. 
McGrath J. 
Kelly P. 
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