The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Doncaster Rovers 40.3%
Draw 27.7%
Notts County 32.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.3%
25.9%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
25.3%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Doncaster Rovers's form might have worsened.
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
18.2%
18.2%
Doncaster Rovers - Notts County Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Notts County will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Doncaster: 35.2% โ 92%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Simkin T. (G) 27. Grehan S. 12. Byrne N. 6. McGrath J. 23. Senior J. 4. Bailey O. (C) 22. Gotts R. 7. O'Reilly T. 21. Hutchinson I. 10. May A. 9. Hanlan B.
1. Belshaw J. (G) 2. Gibbons J. 12. Ness L. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 8. Cooper O. 27. Finneran R. 14. Lipsiuc D. 11. Grant C. 42. Mustapha H. 19. Smyth L.
Substitutes
11. Ayinde L. 8. Broadbent G. 42. Clarke J. (G) 15. Clifton H. 3. Husband J. 25. McCann B. 19. Thomas J.
44. Baker M. 15. Evans J. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 9. Kanu D. 17. Kouhyar Q. 7. Roberts C. 26. Samuels-Smith I.
Coaches
McCann G.
Paterson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Hutchinson I. ⚽,
44', Senior J. 🟨,
45', Lipsiuc D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lipsiuc D. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
63', Grant C. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
63', Smyth L. ↓, Kanu D. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Cooper O. ⚽, Roberts C. (A),
69', Hanlan B. ↓, Ayinde L. ↑,
69', O'Reilly T. ↓, McCann B. ↑,
70', Mustapha H. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
76', Cooper O. 🟨,
77', Hutchinson I. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
77', Byrne N. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
88', Clifton H. 🟨,
89', Bedeau J. 🟨,
90+6', Grehan S. ↓, Husband J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Doncaster could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Doncaster: Husband J.
(Inactive)
Nixon T.
(Inactive)
Okoronkwo F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pearson M.
(Inactive)
Sterry J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Notts County: Acquah E.
(Inactive)
Enoru B.
(Inactive)
Macari L.
(Inactive)
McDonald R.
(Inactive)
Palmer M.
(Injury)
Platt M.
(Inactive)
Sanders M. H.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Doncaster: Clifton H.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Notts County: Campbell D.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Doncaster
8
2
3
3
9:9
0
9
22
Notts County
8
1
4
3
8:11
-3
7
Outrights of English League One for now
Doncaster: 2.2% Notts County: 0.76%
Last Results with these Odds
Doncaster Rovers - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
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Simkin T. (G) 
Grehan S. 
Bedeau J. (C) 
Tsaroulla N. 
Cooper O. 
Mustapha H. 
Smyth L. 
Clarke J. (G) 
Kouhyar Q. 
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