Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 10

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Fleetwood Town		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.2
	2.2	3.4	3.1
	2.2	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.23	3.48	3.36
	2.2	3.4	3.1
	2.22	3.44	3.13	Watch
	2.27	3.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.28)	3.45 ↓ (3.48)	3.15 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
42.6%

Draw
27.4%

Leyton Orient
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

26.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27.1%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	15.4%	53.8%

Fleetwood Town - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (G) 5. Lawal B. 16. Heneghan B. 22. Nsiala A. 2. Johnston C. 11. Broom R. 8. Vela J. (C) 15. Quitirna J. 32. Earl J. 20. Omochere P. 14. Marriott J.	1. Brynn S. (G) 2. James T. 19. Beckles O. 12. Cooper B. 11. Archibald T. 18. Pratley D. (C) 15. El Mizouni I. 24. Graham J. 14. Moncur G. 9. Pigott J. 10. Sotiriou R.
Substitutes
19. Graydon R. 18. Holgate H. 30. McMullan S. (G) 6. Robertson S. 17. Simons X. 9. Stockley J. 7. Tshimanga K.	8. Brown J. 16. Drinan A. 17. Forde S. 22. Galbraith E. 5. Happe D. 13. Howes S. (G) 32. Hunt R.
Coaches
Johnson L.	Wellens R.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 15).

Fleetwood is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leyton Orient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fleetwood could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English League One
23.09.23	Burton Albion - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Fleetwood Town - Oxford United	0:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Fleetwood Town - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
English League One
02.09.23	Charlton Athletic - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Fleetwood Town - Shrewsbury Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLWLL
- Leyton Orient
English League One
23.09.23	Leyton Orient - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Leyton Orient - Fulham U21	3:2 penalties ✺
English League One
16.09.23	Peterborough United - Leyton Orient	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Exeter City - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Gillingham - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
10.01.15	Leyton Orient - Fleetwood Town	0:1
30.08.14	Fleetwood Town - Leyton Orient	1:1

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