The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 38.2%
Draw 27%
Leyton Orient 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
27.5%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
26.7%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16%
12%
72%
Exeter City - Leyton Orient Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 18 - 72%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 54.4% – 89.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Leyton Orient (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Bycroft J. (G) 2. McMillan J. 26. Sweeney P. (C) 20. Woodhouse L. 14. Niskanen I. 45. Cummins C. 29. McDonald K. 21. Andrew D. 12. Cole R. 7. Mendes C. 9. Wareham J.
12. Dennis W. (G) 28. Clare S. 6. Forrester W. (C) 4. Simpson J. 3. Morris J. 22. Abdulai A. 15. Bakinson T. 44. Archibald T. 25. Wellens C. 11. Mitchell D. 32. Ballard D.
Substitutes
10. Aitchison J. 6. Brierley E. 19. Cox S. 17. Higgins A. 32. Phillips F. (G) 3. Rydel R. 15. Yfeko J.
33. Cahill K. (G) 16. Casey K. 14. Craig M. 8. El Mizouni I. 5. Happe D. 7. O'Neill O. 20. Perkins S.
Coaches
Taylor M.
Wellens R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Clare S. ↓, Craig M. ↑,
45+1', Andrew D. ↓, Yfeko J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Abdulai A. ↓, El Mizouni I. ↑,
46', Craig M. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
49', Happe D. 🟨,
61', Mendes C. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
61', McDonald K. ↓, Brierley E. ↑,
67', Mitchell D. ↓, O'Neill O. ↑,
80', Cummins C. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
80', Cole R. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
81', McMillan J. 🟨,
83', Archibald T. 🟨,
90+1', Aitchison J. 🟨,
90+2', Forrester W. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
Exeter is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Leyton Orient is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Surgery)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Knee Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Exeter: Doyle-Hayes J.
(Injury)
Fitzwater J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Oluwayemi T.
(Inactive)
We predict that Leyton Orient will win today's game, with odds of 2.73.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.3:1.3).
Outrights of English League One for now
Leyton Orient: 0.83%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Leyton Orient
9
3
2
4
13:11
2
11
Last Results with these Odds
Exeter City - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.21%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Leyton Orient - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.28%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Bycroft J. (G) 
McMillan J. 
Sweeney P. (C) 
Niskanen I. 
Mendes C. 
El Mizouni I. 
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